中国国土空间韧性与效率的耦合关系及跃迁机制

在中国国土空间面临结构转型和"蓝图"重塑的关键时期,探究韧性与效率的耦合关系及跃迁驱动机制,对于破解国土空间路径依赖与低效利用困境具有重要意义。基于多种空间分析方法,从时空交互视角研究中国国土空间韧性与效率耦合关系的差异格局、动态演化及跃迁机制。结果表明:(1)考察期内,中国国土空间韧性和效率均符合区域发展菱形结构板块分异的共性特征,在数值指数与动态演进方面,国土空间韧性呈路径依赖与锁定,效率呈波动式增长等个性特征。(2)全国耦合关系与中部地区演化轨迹相似,呈现缓慢增长态势,四大区域呈东部(0.832)>中部(0.661)>东北(0.623)>西部(0.427)的梯度分异特征,东南省份与西北省份相比呈协作态势强于竞争态势。(3)跃迁模式的驱动机制表明二者耦合关系发展方向呈自西北向东南的"同向制约-反向发展-同向发展"梯度格局,并存在"产业-经济驱动、经济-产业-城镇化驱动、政府-科技-人口制约、科技-政府制约"4种跃迁模式。因此,国土空间高质量发展不仅需要权衡韧性或效率的单一增长方式,还需要考虑二者耦合过程中不同跃迁模式的驱动机制,以期实现"共性兼具个性"的协同优化方案。

Coupling relationship and transition mechanism between resilience and efficiency in China''s territorial space

In the critical period of structural transformation and blueprint reshaping of China''s territorial space, exploring the coupling relationship between territorial space resilience and efficiency is crucial for addressing the challenges of path dependence and inefficient utilization. Utilizing various spatial analysis methods, this study investigates the differential patterns, dynamic evolution, and transition mechanisms of the coupling relationship between resilience and efficiency in China''s territorial space from a spatiotemporal interaction perspective. The results showed that: (1) During the study period, both resilience and efficiency of China''s territorial space exhibited common regional differentiation characteristics consistent with the regional development diamond structure. Territorial space resilience showed path dependency, while territorial space efficiency exhibited fluctuating growth. (2) The evolutionary trajectory of the coupling relationship between territorial space resilience and efficiency of China was similar to that of the central region, exhibiting a trend of slow growth. The four major regions of China showed a gradient differentiation in the coupling of resilience and efficiency, ranked as Eastern China (0.832)>Central China (0.661)>Northeast China (0.623)>Western China (0.427). Compared to the northwestern provinces, the southeastern provinces of China demonstrated a stronger collaborative stance over a competitive one. (3) The spatiotemporal transition patterns of the coupling coordination level between resilience and efficiency in China''s territorial space were based on the differences in driving/restraining mechanisms at high and low quantiles, collectively forming four types of transition modes: industry-economic driven, economic-industry-urbanization driven, government-technology-population constraint, and technology-government constraint. Moreover, these transition modes progressively displayed a concurrent constraint-reverse development-concurrent development ladder-like pattern from northwest to southeast China. Therefore, achieving high-quality development of territorial space requires balancing the growth of resilience and efficiency while considering the driving mechanisms of different transition modes during their coupling process. The study aims to achieve a synergistic optimization scheme that integrates both commonality and individuality.