Population stage structure,survival and recruitment in the endangered East African forest herb <Emphasis Type="Italic">Saintpaulia</Emphasis>

Climatic seasonality, local habitat quality, and edge effects created by forest fragmentation due to human activity may affect the performance of endangered rain forest understory herbs. Viability and seasonal dynamics of the populations of the endangered Saintpaulia confusa, S. difficilis, and S. grotei were studied in a protected seasonal submontane forest in NE Tanzania by examining plant life-history traits, population stage structure, and the effects of habitat quality on plant performance. The population stage structures were of the dynamic type. There was a lower frequency of seedlings (57.9%) and higher frequency of juvenile (13.3%) and adult plants (28.8%) in S. confusa than in S. difficilis (74%, 10.7% and 15.3%, respectively). Seedling recruitment occurred from May to August with an average of 54, 103 and 38 emerged seedlings per 1 m² study plot (S. confusa, S. difficilis, and S. grotei, respectively). Presence of the seed bank was also an indication of the regeneration potential of the populations. Mortality was high during the dry and hot season from December to March. Survival was lowest in juvenile plants, higher in sterile adult plants and the highest in fertile adult plants. Because survival was the lowest on dry substrates under open canopy, our data suggest that forest fragmentation, by reducing shade and humidity, will increase mortality in Saintpaulia. Furthermore, since the mortality was highest in seedlings and juveniles, forest fragmentation is likely to impede the regeneration of the Saintpaulia populations.