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Risk mapping of Rinderpest sero-prevalence in Central and Southern Somalia based on spatial and network risk factors |
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| Authors: | Angel Ortiz-Pelaez Dirk U Pfeiffer Stefano Tempia F Tom Otieno Hussein H Aden Riccardo Costagli |
| Institution: | (1) Veterinary Epidemiology & Public Health Group, Department of Veterinary Clinical Sciences, The Royal Veterinary College, University of London, Hawkshead Lane, North Mymms, Hatfield, Herts, AL9 7TA, UK;(2) Terra Nuova East Africa, Raphta Road n.87 (Westlands), Maisonette 14/15, PO Box 74916, Nairobi, 00200, Kenya;(3) International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), PO Box 30709, Nairobi, 00100, Kenya |
| Abstract: | BackgroundIn contrast to most pastoral systems, the Somali livestock production system is oriented towards domestic trade and export with seasonal movement patterns of herds/flocks in search of water and pasture and towards export points. Data from a rinderpest survey and other data sources have been integrated to explore the topology of a contact network of cattle herds based on a spatial proximity criterion and other attributes related to cattle herd dynamics. The objective of the study is to integrate spatial mobility and other attributes with GIS and network approaches in order to develop a predictive spatial model of presence of rinderpest. |
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