From dispersal to landscapes: progress in the understanding of population dynamics

The development of our understanding of population dynamics over the past 50 years is reviewed from a personal perspective. An early emphasis on population vital rates was superceded by recognition of the importance of the specific community context of focal populations, and most recently has in turn been enriched by a landscape perspective. Certain basic principles are outlined including the value of a systems context for population analyses, the power of a dual mechanistic and contextual perspective, and the inevitability of density control in a finite biosphere. Numbers are determined by the balance of two complex parameters:p — the per capita growth promoting (enhancing) forces, ands — the per capita growth suppressing forces. Multiple factor explanations of demographic behavior are therefore to be expected, as well as temporal and spatial variations in them. An appreciation for the potential role of dispersal as a population vital rate led to the development of metapopulation theory. A renewed understanding of the role of community context in population dynamics provoked the realization that a multi-factor approach was required. This in turn allowed us to reconcile the reality of local demographic complexity with global generalizations. Finally, the introduction of landscape ecology into demographic thinking added many new insights. It is now appreciated that a spatially explicit mosaic of habitat patches, edge effects, corridors, and even the proportion of favorable to marginal habitats can all be critically important factors in influencing population dynamics.