Estimating Maximum Possible Environmental Loading Amounts of Cryptosporidium parvum Attributable to Adult Beef Cattle

Populations of beef cattle represent a potential non-point source of environmental contamination for Cryptosporidium parvum if on-farm management practices fail to minimize transport from bovine manure to adjacent water sources. Characterizing this risk of contamination requires several parameters to be estimated, the most important being a valid and precise estimate of the oocyst loading rate per animal unit. The oocyst loading rate is defined in this study as the total number of oocysts excreted by a cohort of adult beef cows during a 24emsp4 ]h period. We propose a methodology for estimating this parameter for low prevalent populations whereby the majority of individuals are test negative. Under specific degrees of confidence and at the population scale, this methodology generates estimates for maximal oocyst loading based on the sensitivity of the diagnostic test and the point prevalence and intensity of fecal shedding from a cross-sectional survey of the target population.Our cross-sectional survey on California beef cows generated a prevalence of infection of 1.1 % (6/557) and an intensity of oocyst shedding ranging from 219 to 5,491 oocysts/g, with a geometric mean of 835 oocysts/g from six positive cows. Negative binomial estimate of the percent recovery of the diagnostic assay was 0.235. Based on this percent recovery and using approximately 19.4emsp4 ]mg of feces per assay, the DT₉₀ of our assay, defined as the concentration of oocysts at which our diagnostic assay had a 90 % probability of detecting one or more oocysts in a sample, was 755 oocyst/g feces. At a 95 % confidence level, the estimated maximum number of oocysts being excreted in the feces of California beef cows ranged from 4.8 to 14.4 oocysts/g feces/cow, or 7.7×10⁴ to 2.3×10⁵ oocysts/beef cow/day.