Prognostic markers for survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma treated with interleukin-2

 Interleukin-2 (IL-2)-based immunotherapy can induce antitumor responses in about 25% of patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC). The limited effect and the severe side-effects of IL-2 have led us to perform a prognostic factor analysis. Twenty-four patients with metastatic RCC were treated with IL-2. Flow cytometry and immunohistology were used to determine DNA ploidy, HLA-II expression on tumor cells, and the presence of macrophages in the primary tumor. These variables were examined in relation to survival. The 4-year overall survival rate was 38%. Forty-six percent of the primary tumors were aneuploid. All tumors, except one, showed HLA-II expression and macrophage presence. A statistically significant correlation (r = 0.66, P = 0.002) was found between HLA-II expression and macrophage presence. Patients with high HLA-II expression had a lower 4-year survival (22% compared to 50%), as had patients with high macrophage presence (20% compared to 42%). Of note, patients characterized by both high HLA-II and high macrophage expression had the worst survival (13% compared to 50%). We concluded that DNA ploidy was not predictive for survival, whereas HLA-II expression and macrophage presence may represent valuable prognostic factors related to survival. The present data suggest that more of the patients with no or moderate HLA-II expression and/or no or moderate macrophage presence in the primary tumor could survive with persistance of their malignant disease after having received IL-2 immunotherapy, as compared to patients with both high HLA-II and high macrophage expression. Received: 2 April 1996 / Accepted: 15 October 1996