Psychological stress and cardiovascular disease: empirical demonstration of bias in a prospective observational study of Scottish men |
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Authors: | John Macleod George Davey Smith Pauline Heslop Chris Metcalfe Douglas Carroll Carole Hart |
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Affiliation: | aDepartment of Primary Care and General Practice, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, bDepartment of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Canynge Hall, Bristol BS8 2PR, cSchool of Sport and Exercise Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, dDepartment of Public Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8RZ |
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Abstract: | ObjectivesTo examine the association between self perceived psychological stress and cardiovascular disease in a population where stress was not associated with social disadvantage.DesignProspective observational study with follow up of 21 years and repeat screening of half the cohort 5 years from baseline. Measures included perceived psychological stress, coronary risk factors, self reported angina, and ischaemia detected by electrocardiography.Setting27 workplaces in Scotland.Participants5606 men (mean age 48 years) at first screening and 2623 men at second screening with complete data on all measuresResultsBoth prevalence and incidence of angina increased with increasing perceived stress (fully adjusted odds ratio for incident angina, high versus low stress 2.66, 95% confidence interval 1.61 to 4.41; P for trend <0.001). Prevalence and incidence of ischaemia showed weak trends in the opposite direction. High stress was associated with a higher rate of admissions to hospital generally and for admissions related to cardiovascular disease and psychiatric disorders (fully adjusted rate ratios for any general hospital admission 1.13, 1.01 to 1.27, cardiovascular disease 1.20, 1.00 to 1.45, and psychiatric disorders 2.34, 1.41 to 3.91). High stress was not associated with increased admission for coronary heart disease (1.00, 0.76-1.32) and showed an inverse relation with all cause mortality, mortality from cardiovascular disease, and mortality from coronary heart disease, that was attenuated by adjustment for occupational class (fully adjusted hazard ratio for all cause mortality 0.94, 0.81 to 1.11, cardiovascular mortality 0.91, 0.78 to 1.06, and mortality from coronary heart disease 0.98, 0.75 to 1.27).ConclusionsThe relation between higher stress, angina, and some categories of hospital admissions probably resulted from the tendency of participants reporting higher stress to also report more symptoms. The lack of a corresponding relation with objective indices of heart disease suggests that these symptoms did not reflect physical disease. The data suggest that associations between psychosocial measures and disease outcomes reported from some other studies may be spurious. What is already known on this topicHigher psychological stress has predicted coronary heart disease in several observational studiesExposure to stress and heart disease outcomes were often based on self report so that a general tendency to negative perceptions may have generated a spurious association between higher perceived stress and heart disease symptomsWhat this study addsPerceived stress was strongly related to subjective symptoms of heart disease, including those leading to hospital admissionHowever, stress showed a weakly inverse relation to all objective indices of heart disease: socially advantaged men perceived themselves to be most stressed, and the “protective” effect of stress was probably attributable to residual confoundingSuggestions that psychological stress is an important determinant of heart disease may be premature |
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