Genetic variation in germination, growth, and survivorship of red maple in response to subambient through elevated atmospheric CO2

Genetic variation in plant response to atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂) may have influenced paleo‐vegetation dynamics and could determine how future elevated CO₂ drives plant evolution and ecosystem productivity. We established how levels of relatedness – the maternal family, population, and provenance – affect variation in the CO₂ response of a species. This 2‐year growth chamber experiment focused on the germination, growth, biomass allocation, and survivorship responses of Acer rubrum to four concentrations of CO₂: 180, 270, 360, and 600 μL L^?1– representing Pleistocene through potential future conditions. We found that all levels of relatedness interacted with CO₂ to contribute to variation in response. Germination responses to CO₂ varied among families and populations, growth responses depended on families and regions of origin, and survivorship responses to CO₂ were particularly affected by regional identities. Differences among geographic regions accounted for 23% of the variation in biomass response to CO₂. If seeds produced under subambient CO₂ conditions behave similarly, our results suggest that A. rubrum may have experienced strong selection on seedling survivorship at Pleistocene CO₂ levels. Further, this species may evolve in response to globally rising CO₂ so as to increase productivity above that experimentally observed today. Species responses to future atmospheric CO₂ and the accompanying biotic effects on the global carbon cycle will vary among families, populations, and provenances.