青藏高原草地退化特征及其与气候因子的关系

了解草地退化的分布、特征、变化趋势及持续性,揭示草地退化机理,可为有效管理和保护草地提供重要的科学依据。本研究选择草地覆盖度作为草地退化的遥感监测指标,建立了草地退化遥感监测和评价指标体系,对青藏高原草地退化现状(2016—2020年)进行了评价,利用线性回归和Hurst指数分析了长时间序列尺度上(1982—2020年)草地覆盖度变化的趋势及持续性,并且基于草地覆盖度与气候因子的偏相关分析,研究了气候因子对草地退化的影响。结果表明: 2016—2020年,平均草地退化面积达24.3%,主要表现为轻度退化和中度退化,主要分布在低海拔和高植被覆盖地区。1982—2020年,草地覆盖度在青藏高原北部、西部和西南部地区呈增加趋势,在东部和中部地区呈减少趋势。98.1%的地区草地覆盖度的Hurst指数小于0.5,草地覆盖度变化表现出反持续性。草地覆盖度与降水量的偏相关系数(0.096)整体高于其与温度的偏相关系数(-0.033),温度占主导地位的面积占比为16.0%,主要分布在青藏高原的中部和东南部,降水量占主导地位的面积占比为12.2%,主要分布在青藏高原东北部和西部。

Characteristics of grassland degradation and its relationship with climate factors on Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau,China

Understanding the distribution, characteristics, and changing trend and persistence of grassland degradation and revealing its mechanism on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau can provide scientific basis for effective grassland management and conservation. We selected grassland coverage as the remote sensing monitoring index to establish the remote sensing monitoring and evaluation index system of grassland degradation and evaluate grassland degradation during 2016 to 2020 on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. The changing trend and persistence of grassland coverage were analyzed using linear regression and Hurst index analysis on a long time series scale (1982-2020). The partial correlation analysis was used to examine the influence of climate on grassland degradation. The results showed that grassland degradation reached 24.3% during 2016 to 2020, which was mainly light and moderate degradation, and largely distributed in low altitude and high fractional vegetation cover areas. From 1982 to 2020, grassland coverage tended to increase in the north, west and southwest, and decreased in the east and center of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. The Hurst index of grassland coverage was less than 0.5 in 98.1% of the total grassland, indicating grassland coverage showed negatively persistent. The partial correlation coefficient between grassland coverage and precipitation (0.096) was higher than that of temperature (-0.033). About 16.0% area was dominated by temperature, which was mainly distributed in the central and southeast. About 12.2% area was dominated by precipitation, which was distributed in the northeast and west of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.