Reproductive failure: a new paradigm for extinction

Extinction was recognized as a scientific fact 200 years ago, although no adequate paradigm has emerged to explain the process. Prevailing theory has focused on ‘cause(s)’ of extinction but has neglected ‘effect’ and ‘mechanism’. These omissions preclude the formulation of a functional paradigm necessary for remedial action in response to the impending anthropogenic mediated, worldwide extinction crisis. The new paradigm is defined as the multi‐generational, attritional loss of reproductive fitness. Stabilizing selection continuously adapts species to specific ecosystems, which often results in highly evolved species prone to extinction when environments shift. Some species survive by tracking the declining palaeoclimates in which they presumably evolved, often becoming relicts prior to extinction. Compelling new evidence shows that even mass extinctions are largely a result of environmental change leading to widespread, attritional reproductive decline, rather than a result of instantaneous global catastrophes.