Stable population analysis in periodic environments |
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Authors: | Robert S. Gourley Charles E. Lawrence |
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Affiliation: | N.Y. Cooperative Wildlife Research Unit and Section of Ecology and Systematics, Fernow Hall, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14850 USA;Division of Systems Engineering, Sage Laboratory, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, New York 12181 USA |
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Abstract: | A discrete time model is developed for periodic survivorship and maternal frequency rates. The Leslie matrix is subdivided by an additional variable representing time of birth (season of birth in the example presented) to accommodate both age-specific and time-specific variations in vital rates. Thus, in contrast to the standard time-invariant model, significant periodic alterations in age-specific birth and death rates are explicitly accounted for and may realistically include observed recurrent changes, such as zero or reduced birth rates during unfavorable seasons, etc. Conditions for stability of the extended projection matrix are developed and are shown to be analogous to those of the Leslie model. The periodic model is applicable to populations with overlapping generations in seasonal environments. |
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