Analysis of long-term variation in phytoplankton biovolume in the northern basin of Lake Biwa

The long-term variation in phytoplankton biovolume in the northern basin of Lake Biwa was analyzed using periodic phytoplankton census data from January 1979 to December 2009. Population densities obtained from census data were transformed into biovolumes, and phytoplankton species were categorized into three size fractions: net phytoplankton (≥4,000 μm³ cell^?1, ≥ca. 20 μm in diameter), large nanophytoplankton (100–4,000 μm³ cell^?1, ca. 6–20 μm in diameter), and small nanophytoplankton (<100 μm³ cell^?1, <ca. 6 μm in diameter). Although the annual total biovolume gradually decreased over time, the total biovolumes in winter and spring were found to increase. Furthermore, a decrease in the biovolume of net phytoplankton and an increase in that of small nanophytoplankton were observed. Because of succession in the phytoplankton community, the average cell volume of the phytoplankton community decreased from 269 μm³ cell^?1 in the 1980s to 56 μm³ cell^?1 in the 2000s. Lake warming accompanied with the intensification of thermal stratification and the augmentation of wind speed were observed at Lake Biwa over the study period. Serial analysis correcting for autocorrelation revealed that oligotrophication in the epilimnion, induced by lake warming and limitation of light available for phytoplankton growth by wind-induced water mixing, was a potential factor in the succession of the phytoplankton community.