Environmental and other factors influencing fertility in Sri Lanka

The study utilizes the complete tabulations from the 1971 census and data from the Registrar General's and Meteorological departments for the same year. It applies a multiple regression analysis of the total fertility rate for each district for 1971 on a series of environmental variables. These include the proportion of the rural population by district to the all-island rural population; the district mean annual rainfall and the proportion of the district population employed in the major rural occupations to the total employed. To these 3 environmental variables were added 2 socioeconomic variables: the proportion of the population aged 10+ years and who are literate, and infant mortality. Results indicate that the 5 independent variables are clearly intercorrelated. The multiple regression analysis shows that the 5 variables together account for 76.4% of the total variation in district total fertility rate. It is argued that this and other studies undertaken previously provide useful pointers to the type of variable to be considered in any policy aimed at population control and indicate where major efforts should be directed.