The structural simplification of an epidemiological compartment model |
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Authors: | Norman T. J. Bailey |
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Affiliation: | (1) Unit of Health Statistical Methodology, World Health Organization, CH-1211 Geneva, Switzerland |
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Abstract: | It is shown how a multicompartmental infectious disease model can be systematically examined for reduction of structural complexity. For steadystate situations, four basic rules are proposed for eliminating components of flow-lines, whole flow-lines, and compartments, plus combining compartments. An application to a typhoid fever model allows calculations to be done on a pocket calculator. The approach could be particularly important in developing countries. |
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Keywords: | Compartment model Structural simplification Infectious disease Epidemiology Public health control |
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