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Identifiability of the joint distribution of age and tumor size at detection in the presence of screening
Authors:Hanin Leonid  Yakovlev Andrei
Institution:Department of Mathematics, Idaho State University, Pocatello, ID 83209-8085, USA. hanin@isu.edu
Abstract:In recent years, a stochastic model of cancer development and detection allowing for arbitrary screening schedules has been developed and applied to analysis of screening trials and population-based cancer incidence and mortality data. The model is entirely mechanistic, builds on a minimal set of biologically plausible assumptions, and yields the joint distribution of tumor size and age of a patient at the time of diagnosis. Whether or not parameters of the model can be estimated from data generated by cohort studies depends on model identifiability. The present paper provides a proof of this important property of the model.
Keywords:Cancer detection  Cancer natural history  Cancer screening  Model identifiability  Tumor latency  Tumor size
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