On blocking rules for the bootstrap with dependent data |
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Authors: | HALL, PETER HOROWITZ, JOEL L. JING, BING-YI |
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Affiliation: | 1 Centre for Mathematics and its Applications, Australian National University Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia 2 Department of Economics, University of Iowa Iowa City, Iowa 52242-1000, USA 3 Department of Mathematics, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology Hong Kong |
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Abstract: | We address the issue of optimal block choice in applicationsof the block bootstrap to dependent data. It is shown that optimalblock size depends significantly on context, being equal ton1/3, n1/4 and n1/5 in the cases of variance or bias estimation,estimation of a onesided distribution function, and estimationof a two-sided distribution function, respectively. A clearintuitive explanation of this phenomenon is given, togetherwith outlines of theoretical arguments in specific cases. Itis shown that these orders of magnitude of block sizes can beused to produce a simple, practical rule for selecting blocksize empirically. That technique is explored numerically. |
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Keywords: | Autoregression Bias Blocking methods Bootstrap Mean squared error Variance |
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