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On blocking rules for the bootstrap with dependent data
Authors:HALL, PETER   HOROWITZ, JOEL L.   JING, BING-YI
Affiliation:1 Centre for Mathematics and its Applications, Australian National University Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia
2 Department of Economics, University of Iowa Iowa City, Iowa 52242-1000, USA
3 Department of Mathematics, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology Hong Kong
Abstract:We address the issue of optimal block choice in applicationsof the block bootstrap to dependent data. It is shown that optimalblock size depends significantly on context, being equal ton1/3, n1/4 and n1/5 in the cases of variance or bias estimation,estimation of a onesided distribution function, and estimationof a two-sided distribution function, respectively. A clearintuitive explanation of this phenomenon is given, togetherwith outlines of theoretical arguments in specific cases. Itis shown that these orders of magnitude of block sizes can beused to produce a simple, practical rule for selecting blocksize empirically. That technique is explored numerically.
Keywords:Autoregression    Bias    Blocking methods    Bootstrap    Mean squared error    Variance
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