Population dynamical consequences of reduced predator switching at low total prey densities

Several models of rapid switching by a predator in a two-prey environment are analyzed. The goal is to determine how the dynamics of the system and the potential indirect effects between prey are affected by the dependence of switching on total prey density. In exploring this question, the difference between the population-level consequences of switching in stable and cycling predator-prey systems is also examined. We concentrate on reduced switching at low densities, a feature that is likely because of the difficulty of distinguishing between two very low densities. The main findings are: (1) switching in unstable systems can produce positive indirect effects of one prey species on the other; and (2) reduced switching at low densities can greatly alter the dynamics of the system and the indirect effects between prey. Both of the possibilities are only evident in cycling systems. Reduced switching at low total prey densities leads to heavier predation on the slower-growing prey when both prey species are rare. As a consequence, there is a lag in the recovery of the slower-growing prey species after predator densities fall, and the dynamics of the two prey become desynchronized. The net result is increased indirect interactions between prey, and a greater likelihood of exclusion of the slower growing prey. The analysis of these models suggests a need for more empirical work to determine whether switching is reduced by very low total prey densities, and to study the long-term dynamics that occur in systems with switching predators.