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Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models
Authors:Katherine L. Yates  Phil J. Bouchet  M. Julian Caley  Kerrie Mengersen  Christophe F. Randin  Stephen Parnell  Alan H. Fielding  Andrew J. Bamford  Stephen Ban  A. Márcia Barbosa  Carsten F. Dormann  Jane Elith  Clare B. Embling  Gary N. Ervin  Rebecca Fisher  Susan Gould  Roland F. Graf  Edward J. Gregr  Ana M.M. Sequeira
Affiliation:1. School of Environment and Life Sciences, University of Salford, Manchester, UK;2. Centre for Excellence in Environmental Decisions, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia;3. School of Biological Sciences, University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia;4. ARC Centre for Excellence in Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia;5. School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia;6. Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland;7. Haworth Conservation Ltd, Bunessan, Isle of Mull, Scotland;8. Wildfowl & Wetlands Trust, Slimbridge, Gloucestershire, GL2 7BT, UK;9. Canadian Parks and Wilderness Society, #410-698 Seymour Street, Vancouver, BC V6B 3K6, Canada;10. CIBIO/InBIO-Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos, Universidade de Évora, 7004-516 Évora, Portugal;11. Biometry & Environmental System Analysis, University of Freiburg, Tennenbacher Str. 4, 79106 Freiburg, Germany;12. School of BioSciences, University of Melbourne, VIC 3010, Australia;13. School of Biological and Marine Sciences, Plymouth University, Drake Circus, Plymouth, PL4 8AA, UK;14. Department of Biological Sciences, Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS 39762, USA;15. Australian Institute of Marine Science & UWA Oceans Institute, University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia;16. Griffith Climate Change Response Program, Building G01, Room 2.25, Gold Coast Campus, Griffith University, Parklands Drive, Southport, QLD 4222, Australia;17. ZHAW Zürich University of Applied Sciences, CH-8820 Wädenswil, Switzerland;18. Institute for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability, University of British Columbia, AERL Building, 2202 Main Mall Vancouver, BC, Canada;19. SciTech Environmental Consulting, 2136 Napier Street, Vancouver, BC V5L 2N9, Canada;20. Marine Geospatial Ecology Lab, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA;21. Finnish Environment Institute, Biodiversity Centre, PO Box 140, FIN-00251 Helsinki, Finland;22. DHI, Ecology and Environment Department, Agern Allé 5, DK-2970 Hørsholm, Denmark;23. The Environment Institute and School of Biological Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia;24. Center for Environment and Water, Research Institute, King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Dhahran 31261, Saudi Arabia;25. Instituto per l''Ambiente Marino Costiero, IAMC-CNR, Mazara del Vallo, Trapani, Italy;26. CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Indian Ocean Marine Research Centre, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia;27. UMR MARBEC (IRD, Ifremer, Univ. Montpellier, CNRS), Institut Français de Recherche pour l''Exploitation de la Mer, Av. Jean Monnet, CS 30171, 34203 Sète, France;28. Australian Institute of Marine Science, PMB No 3, Townsville 4810, QLD, Australia;29. Department of Plant Sciences, University of California, Davis, One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616, USA;30. Departamento de Sistemas y Recursos Naturales, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Ciudad Universitaria, s/n, 28040, Madrid, Spain;31. National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 301 Evans Bay Parade, Wellington 6012, New Zealand;32. Marine Geomatics Research Lab, Department of Geography, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, NL, Canada;33. RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, The David Attenborough Building, Pembroke Street, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, UK;34. Biodiversity Institute, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS 66045, USA;35. University of California, Merced, 5200 N Lake Rd, Merced, CA 95230, USA;36. School of Science & Engineering, The University of the Sunshine Coast, Maroochydore, QLD 4558, Australia;37. Centre for African Conservation Ecology, Department of Zoology, Nelson Mandela University, Port Elizabeth, South Africa;38. Department of Ocean Sciences and Department of Biology, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John''s, NL A1C 5S7, Canada;39. Department of Aquatic Resources, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Stångholmsvägen 2, 178 93 Drottningholm, Sweden;40. Université Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Laboratoire d’Ecologie Alpine (LECA), Grenoble F-38000, France;41. Marine Mammal Institute, Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Oregon State University, 2030 Southeast Marine Science Dr., Newport, OR 97365, USA;42. Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 3B2, Canada;43. Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Portland, ME 04101, USA;44. Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30601, USA;45. Biology, School of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle-Upon-Tyne, NE1 7RU, UK;46. Pacific Rim National Park Reserve, Parks Canada Agency, Box 280, Ucluelet, BC V0R 3A0, Canada;47. Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Dept. Landscape Dynamics, Zuercherstrasse 111, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland;48. Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Geography Dept., Unter den Linden 6, D-10099 Berlin, Germany;49. IOMRC and The University of Western Australia Oceans Institute, University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia;2. Joint first authors
Abstract:
Keywords:Predictive modeling  model transfers  species distribution models  habitat models  extrapolation  generality  uncertainty
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