Discriminant function analysis for evaluating the status of coronary heart disease risk

We investigated to discriminate those individuals categorized by 1. obesity, 2. hypercholesterolemia, 3. hypertension, 4. low maximal oxygen uptake, 5. an abnormal electrocardiogram reflecting ischemic patterns, and/or 6. real sedentary life, from relatively healthier individuals without coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors. One hundred and six Japanese women, aged 30 to 72 years, all of whom were in the postabsorptive state, were recruited in a series of tests for anthropometric and physiologic profiles both during the resting state and during the submaximal-maximal cycling exercise. Subjects were categorized into two groups--those who possessed four or more of the above 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 (high-CHD-risk group, n = 15) and apparently healthy individuals with a minimum number of risk factors (low-CHD-risk group, n = 83). Analyses of the data revealed that a combination of 8 variables extracted from among original 25 variables accurately classified 13/15 (87%) of high-CHD-risk group and 77/83 (93%) of low-CHD-risk group (mean = 90/98 or 92%) into their respective groups. The 8 variables were double product, Katsura index, waist girth, chest girth, TG, TC, and skinfold thicknesses at the subscapular and abdominal sites. Subsequent t-test identified significant differences between groups not only for VO2max, SBP and TC but also for DBP, LDLC, TG, Hb, HR, and HRmax. Most of these differences were of a much greater magnitude compared to the existing difference in chronological age. These findings suggest the usefulness and importance of anthropometric and blood lipid variables in the explanation of differences in the health status between high-CHD-risk women and their counterparts.