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A horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2012 |
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| Authors: | Sutherland William J Aveling Ros Bennun Leon Chapman Eleanor Clout Mick Côté Isabelle M Depledge Michael H Dicks Lynn V Dobson Andrew P Fellman Liz Fleishman Erica Gibbons David W Keim Brandon Lickorish Fiona Lindenmayer David B Monk Kathryn A Norris Kenneth Peck Lloyd S Prior Stephanie V Scharlemann Jörn P W Spalding Mark Watkinson Andrew R |
| Affiliation: | 1 Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, Cambridge University, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK 2 Fauna & Flora International, Jupiter House, 4th Floor, Station Road, Cambridge, CB1 2JD, UK 3 BirdLife International, Wellbrook Court, Girton Road, Cambridge, CB3 0NA, UK 4 Evidence Directorate, Environment Agency, Deanery Road, Bristol, BS1 5AH, UK 5 Centre for Biodiversity and Biosecurity, School of Biological Sciences, University of Auckland, PB 92019, Auckland, New Zealand 6 Department of Biological Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, V5A 1S6, Canada 7 European Centre for Environment and Human Health, Peninsula College of Medicine and Dentistry, Royal Cornwall Hospital, Truro, Cornwall, TR1 3HD, UK 8 Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, 117 Eno Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA 9 Natural Environment Research Council, Polaris House, North Star Avenue, Swindon, SN2 1EU, UK 10 John Muir Institute of the Environment, The Barn, One Shields Ave, University of California, Davis, CA 95616, USA 11 Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, The Lodge, Sandy, Bedfordshire, SG19 2DL, UK 12 Wired.com, 520 3rd Street, 3rd Floor, Bryant Street, San Francisco, CA 94107, USA 13 Cranfield University, Cranfield, MK43 0AL, UK 14 Fenner School of Environment and Society, Building 48, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia 15 Environment Agency Wales, Cambria House, 29 Newport Road, Cardiff, CF24 0TP, UK 16 School of Agriculture, Policy and Development, University of Reading, Whiteknights, PO Box 237, Reading, RG6 6AR, UK 17 British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, UK 18 United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, UK 19 Global Marine Team, The Nature Conservancy, Department of Zoology, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK 20 Living with Environmental Change, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK |
| Abstract: | Our aim in conducting annual horizon scans is to identify issues that, although currently receiving little attention, may be of increasing importance to the conservation of biological diversity in the future. The 15 issues presented here were identified by a diverse team of 22 experts in horizon scanning, and conservation science and its application. Methods for identifying and refining issues were the same as in two previous annual scans and are widely transferable to other disciplines. The issues highlight potential changes in climate, technology and human behaviour. Examples include warming of the deep sea, increased cultivation of perennial grains, burning of Arctic tundra, and the development of nuclear batteries and hydrokinetic in-stream turbines. |
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