Moth outbreaks in relation to oak masting and population levels of small mammals: an alternative explanation to the mammal-predation hypothesis

The relationship between population outbreaks of the gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar) and oak masting in North America has been interpreted as an effect of reduced predation on moth pupae from small mammals after years of acorn failure. However, moth defoliation could be a consequence of high acorn production rather than of acorn failure, as all moth outbreaks in two time series presented by Liebhold et al. Popul Ecol (2000) 42:257–266] were reported shortly after mast years. A similar pattern has been found for the green oak leaf roller moth (Tortrix viridana) in southern Norway. Because predation from small mammals should be less important for the latter species, I argue that the acorn-moth relationships are most likely caused by mast-induced changes in the chemical composition of oak leaves. Given the high number of eggs laid by each moth female, there is a huge potential for population growth in or shortly after a mast year if larval survival is no longer limited by low food quality.