| Abstract: | Abstract. Throughout the 1960s and 1970s there was a rapid decline and canopy dieback in the Metrosideros polymorpha dominated rain forest of Hawai'i. An analysis of air photo sets from 1954, 1965, and 1972, covering the windward slopes of Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa, gave support for an alien disease hypothesis. A total demise of the native forest was predicted for the early 1990s. This prediction as well as the disease hypothesis proved to be wrong. Various searches for a single climatic cause also failed to explain the dieback. The spatial dynamics of the dieback phenomenon were newly analyzed with an additional air photo set from 1977 and by using GIS with spatial statistics. Two juxtaposed and climatically similar landscape matrix samples of ca. 200 km2, one each on Mauna Loa and Mauna Kea, were subjected to an analysis of landform heterogeneity and superimposed dieback patterns. The Mauna Loa matrix displays up to 15 000 yr old lava flows, while the Mauna Kea matrix displays up to 250 000 yr old substrates. Initiation of dieback occurred simultaneously on both mountains and was highly correlated with poorly-drained sites. The progression of dieback, however, followed a gradient of decreasing soil moisture, which often terminated at clearly recognizable substrate boundaries in the Mauna Loa matrix and moved over well-drained hill sites in the Mauna Kea matrix. Metrosideros dieback spread across the entire spectrum of volcanic substrates and habitat moisture regimes and developed from a smaller into a larger patch mosaic. By 1977, ca. 50 % of the forest area in both sample matrices had gone into dieback. Thereafter, the dieback came to a halt. The domino-type collapse, which frequently came to a halt at volcanic substrate boundaries, indicates that stands in better drained sites were also predisposed to die. Stands on adjoining substrates often survived. Substrates with dieback stands displayed no other obvious vigor-reducing stresses. The canopy trees on such substrates may have a common history, such as a major disturbance (including dieback) that synchronized stand development in the past. Subsequent weather disturbances and other abiotic/endogenous stresses associated with stand maturation, such as nutrient limitations and stand-level senescence, may reinforce a rhythmic synchrony over several generations of canopy cohorts. |
