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Slight phenotypic variation in predators and prey causes complex predator-prey oscillations
Institution:1. Littoral, Environnement et SociétéS (LIENSs), Université de La Rochelle, UMR 7266, CNRS-ULR, 2 rue Olympe de Gouges, 17000 La Rochelle Cedex, France;2. Laboratoire Microorganismes, Génome et Environnement, UMR 6023, CNRS-Université de Clermont-Ferrand II, 24 avenue des Landais, 63177 Aubière Cedex, France;3. Laboratoire d''Ecogéochimie des Environnements Benthiques, UMR 8222, CNRS/UPMC, Observatoire Océanologique de Banyuls-sur-Mer, 66650 Banyuls-sur-Mer, France;4. Laboratoire Ressources Halieutiques de La Rochelle, Ifremer, Station de La Rochelle, Place Gaby Coll, BP 7, 17137 L''Houmeau, France;5. LEMAR, UMR 6539, Institut Universitaire Européen de la Mer, Place Nicolas Copernic, 29280 Plouzané, France;6. Université de Caen Basse-Normandie, FRE3484 BioMEA, CNRS, Esplanade de la Paix, F-14032 Caen, France;1. Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Box 7044, SE-750 07 Uppsala, Sweden;2. Ecological Modeling Group, Research Centre for Systems Biology, University of Skövde, P.O. Box 408, SE-541 28 Skövde, Sweden;3. Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Division of Theoretical Biology, Linköping University, SE-58183 Linköping, Sweden;4. School of Biological Sciences, Queen''s University Belfast, 97 Lisburn Road, Belfast, BT9 7BL, UK;5. Environmental Research Institute, University College Cork, Lee Road, Cork, Ireland;6. Weierstrass Institute, Mohrenstr. 39, 10117 Berlin
Abstract:Predator-prey oscillations are expected to show a 1/4-phase lag between predator and prey. However, observed dynamics of natural or experimental predator-prey systems are often more complex. A striking but hardly studied example are sudden interruptions of classic 1/4-lag cycles with periods of antiphase oscillations, or periods without any regular predator-prey oscillations. These interruptions occur for a limited time before the system reverts to regular 1/4-lag oscillations, thus yielding intermittent cycles. Reasons for this behaviour are often difficult to reveal in experimental systems. Here we test the hypothesis that such complex dynamical behaviour may result from minor trait variation and trait adaptation in both the prey and predator, causing recurrent small changes in attack rates that may be hard to capture by empirical measurements. Using a model structure where the degree of trait variation in the predator can be explicitly controlled, we show that a very limited amount of adaptation resulting in 10–15% temporal variation in attack rates is already sufficient to generate these intermittent dynamics. Such minor variation may be present in experimental predator-prey systems, and may explain disruptions in regular 1/4-lag oscillations.
Keywords:Predator-prey cycles  Phase relationships  Intermittent cycles  Adaptive traits  Eco-evolutionary dynamics  Complex dynamics
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