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Systemic Testing on Bradley-Terry Model against Nonlinear Ranking Hierarchy
Authors:Aaron Shev  Kevin Fujii  Fushing Hsieh  Brenda McCowan
Affiliation:1. Department of Statistics, University of California Davis, Davis, California, United States of America.; 2. Department of Population Health & Reproduction, University of California Davis, Davis, California, United States of America.; University of South Australia, Australia,
Abstract:We take a system point of view toward constructing any power or ranking hierarchy onto a society of human or animal players. The most common hierarchy is the linear ranking, which is habitually used in nearly all real-world problems. A stronger version of linear ranking via increasing and unvarying winning potentials, known as Bradley-Terry model, is particularly popular. Only recently non-linear ranking hierarchy is discussed and developed through recognition of dominance information contents beyond direct dyadic win-and-loss. We take this development further by rigorously arguing for the necessity of accommodating system''s global pattern information contents, and then introducing a systemic testing on Bradley-Terry model. Our test statistic with an ensemble based empirical distribution favorably compares with the Deviance test equipped with a Chi-squared asymptotic approximation. Several simulated and real data sets are analyzed throughout our development.
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