A detailed representation of electrostatic energy in prediction of sequence and pH dependence of protein stability

A molecular mechanics model, previously validated in applications to structure prediction, is shown to reproduce experiment in predictions of protein ionization state, and in predictions of sequence and pH dependence of protein stability. Over a large dataset, 1876 values of ΔΔG of folding, the RMSD is 1.34 kcal/mol. Using an alternative measure of accuracy, either the sign of the calculated ΔΔG agrees with experiment or the absolute value of the deviation is less than 1.0 kcal/mol, 1660 of 1876 data points (88.5%) pass the condition. Relative to models used previously in computer‐aided protein design, the concept, we propose, most responsible for the performance of our model, and for the extensibility to non‐neutral values of pH, is the treatment of electrostatic energy. The electronic structure of the protein is modeled using distributed atomic multipoles. The structured liquid state of the solvent is modeled using a dielectric continuum. A modification to the energetics of the reaction field, induced by the protein in the dielectric continuum, attempts to account for preformed multipoles of solvent water molecules and ions. An adjustable weight (with optimal value.141) applied to the total vacuum energy accounts implicitly for electronic polarization. A threshold distance, beyond which pairwise atomic interactions are neglected, is not used. In searches through subspaces of sequences and conformations, efficiency remains acceptable for useful applications. Proteins 2014; 82:2497–2511. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.