Climate and health: Observation and modeling of malaria in the Ferlo (Senegal) |
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Authors: | Ibrahima Diouf Abdoulaye Deme Jacques-André Ndione Amadou Thierno Gaye Belén Rodríguez-Fonseca Moustapha Cissé |
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Affiliation: | 1. Laboratoire de physique de l’atmosphère et de l’océan Siméon-Fongang, École supérieure polytechnique de l’université Cheikh-Anta-Diop (UCAD), BP 5084, Dakar-Fann, Dakar, Senegal;2. Centre de suivi écologique, BP 15 532, Fann Résidence, Dakar, Senegal;3. Universidad Complutense de Madrid, 28048 Madrid, Spain;4. Programme national de la lutte contre le paludisme (PNLP), BP 25279, 5085 Dakar-Fann, Dakar, Senegal |
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Abstract: | The aim of this work, undertaken in the framework of QWeCI (Quantifying Weather and Climate Impacts on health in the developing countries) project, is to study how climate variability could influence malaria seasonal incidence. It will also assess the evolution of vector-borne diseases such as malaria by simulation analysis of climate models according to various climate scenarios for the next years. Climate variability seems to be determinant for the risk of malaria development (Freeman and Bradley, 1996 [1], Lindsay and Birley, 1996 [2], Kuhn et al., 2005 [3]). Climate can impact on the epidemiology of malaria by several mechanisms, directly, via the development rates and survival of both pathogens and vectors, and indirectly, through changes in vegetation and land surface characteristics such as the variability of breeding sites like ponds. |
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Keywords: | Climate Modelling Malaria Ferlo Senegal West Africa Climat Modélisation Paludisme Ferlo Sénégal Afrique de l’Ouest |
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