| Abstract: | This chapter presents a method for examining the relationship between effective population size and accumulated random inbreeding in human populations. Using a linear regression model on 9 Irish isolates, results show that this method is very useful in assessing differential influences on population structure. Inbreeding refers to the level expected at random due to finite population size, offset by migration into the population. The data used consist of effective population size estimates and kinship estimates derived from surnames for 9 isolates on, or near, the west coast of Ireland. Based on the non-parametric correlation results, there is no monotonic relationship between effective population size and the inverse of kinship. The demographic data available show that, with the exception of Garumna, Lettermullen, and the Aran Islands, the other populations changed little in population size during the latter part of the 19th century. The fact that observed kinship is higher than predicted kinship suggests an increse in population size. These analyses suggest that there is little, if any, relationship between population size and inbreeding among these populations, using 1891 effective population size estimates. Given the range of demogrphic, ecological, and cultural environments of human populations, perhaps it is unexpected to see a set of populations adhering strongly to a given theoretical model. The more important aspect of such model fitting is not whether or not a given model shows a significant fit, but rather the analysis of deviations from an expected relationship. |
