Patterns of age-specific mortality and molding of senescence by natural selection derived via the life-history regression model

An individual based life-history regression setup is introduced not only as an alternative to the ‘reproductive effort model’ in life-history theory, but as a new platform on which the nature of reproductive costs can be explicitly determined and tested under different demographic environmental conditions. Distinctively this regression model is composed of two age-specific features: one is an estimable baseline mortality rate describing the life-history of a population hypothetically undertaking no reproduction, but investing all vital resources into somatic maintenance and growth; the other is a time-dependent covariate encoding dynamic impacts incurred from individual's schedule of reproduction. Regression parameters embedded in the time-dependent covariate explicitly stand for various effects of reproductive costs on future survival relative to the standard described by the baseline mortality rate. Consequently the age-specific mortality is in a compositional structure and gives rise to a wide spectrum of well known mortality curves. Also this compositional structure renders molding forces on senescence by natural selection crucially dependent on patterns of the schedule of reproduction. All numerical evaluations of patterns are performed with two distinct reproductive schedules to illustrate the essential differences from classic results in literature of evolution of life-history.