Local spatial structure and predator-prey dynamics: counterintuitive effects of prey enrichment

The Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model with prey density dependence shows the final prey density to be independent of its vital rates. This result assumes the community to be well mixed so that encounters between predators and prey occur as a product of the landscape densities, yet empirical evidence suggests that over small spatial scales this may not be the normal pattern. Starting from an individual-based model with neighborhood interactions and movements, a deterministic approximation is derived, and the effect of local spatial structure on equilibrium densities is investigated. Incorporating local movements and local interactions has important consequences for the community dynamics. Now the final prey density is very much dependent on its birth, death, and movement rates and in ways that seem counterintuitive. Increasing prey fecundity or mobility and decreasing the coefficient of competition can all lead to decreases in the final density of prey if the predator is also relatively immobile. However, analysis of the deterministic approximation makes the mechanism for these results clear; each of these changes subtly alters the emergent spatial structure, leading to an increase in the predator-prey spatial covariance at short distances and hence to a higher predation pressure on the prey.