Wild bird migration across the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau: a transmission route for highly pathogenic H5N1 |
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Authors: | Prosser Diann J Cui Peng Takekawa John Y Tang Mingjie Hou Yuansheng Collins Bridget M Yan Baoping Hill Nichola J Li Tianxian Li Yongdong Lei Fumin Guo Shan Xing Zhi He Yubang Zhou Yuanchun Douglas David C Perry William M Newman Scott H |
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Institution: | Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, United States Geological Survey, Beltsville, Maryland, United States of America. dprosser@usgs.gov |
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Abstract: | BackgroundQinghai Lake in central China has been at the center of debate on whether wild birds play a role in circulation of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus H5N1. In 2005, an unprecedented epizootic at Qinghai Lake killed more than 6000 migratory birds including over 3000 bar-headed geese (Anser indicus). H5N1 subsequently spread to Europe and Africa, and in following years has re-emerged in wild birds along the Central Asia flyway several times.Methodology/Principal FindingsTo better understand the potential involvement of wild birds in the spread of H5N1, we studied the movements of bar-headed geese marked with GPS satellite transmitters at Qinghai Lake in relation to virus outbreaks and disease risk factors. We discovered a previously undocumented migratory pathway between Qinghai Lake and the Lhasa Valley of Tibet where 93% of the 29 marked geese overwintered. From 2003–2009, sixteen outbreaks in poultry or wild birds were confirmed on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, and the majority were located within the migratory pathway of the geese. Spatial and temporal concordance between goose movements and three potential H5N1 virus sources (poultry farms, a captive bar-headed goose facility, and H5N1 outbreak locations) indicated ample opportunities existed for virus spillover and infection of migratory geese on the wintering grounds. Their potential as a vector of H5N1 was supported by rapid migration movements of some geese and genetic relatedness of H5N1 virus isolated from geese in Tibet and Qinghai Lake.Conclusions/SignificanceThis is the first study to compare phylogenetics of the virus with spatial ecology of its host, and the combined results suggest that wild birds play a role in the spread of H5N1 in this region. However, the strength of the evidence would be improved with additional sequences from both poultry and wild birds on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau where H5N1 has a clear stronghold. |
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