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Routine Pediatric Enterovirus 71 Vaccination in China: a Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
Authors:Joseph T. Wu  Mark Jit  Yaming Zheng  Kathy Leung  Weijia Xing  Juan Yang  Qiaohong Liao  Benjamin J. Cowling  Bingyi Yang  Eric H. Y. Lau  Saki Takahashi  Jeremy J. Farrar  Bryan T. Grenfell  Gabriel M. Leung  Hongjie Yu
Abstract:BackgroundChina accounted for 87% (9.8 million/11.3 million) of all hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) cases reported to WHO during 2010–2014. Enterovirus 71 (EV71) is responsible for most of the severe HFMD cases. Three EV71 vaccines recently demonstrated good efficacy in children aged 6–71 mo. Here we assessed the cost-effectiveness of routine pediatric EV71 vaccination in China.ConclusionsCompared to no vaccination, routine pediatric EV71 vaccination would be very cost-effective in China if the cost of immunization (including all logistical, procurement, and administration costs needed to confer 5 y of vaccine protection) is below US$12.0–US$18.3, depending on the choice of vaccine among the three candidates. Given that the annual number of births in China has been around 16 million in recent years, the annual costs for routine pediatric EV71 vaccination at this cost range should not exceed US$192–US$293 million. Our results can be used to determine the optimal vaccine when the prices of the three vaccines are known.
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