Upper thermal tolerance plasticity in tropical amphibian species from contrasting habitats: Implications for warming impact prediction

Tropical ectothermic species are currently depicted as more vulnerable to increasing temperatures because of the proximity between their upper thermal limits and environmental temperatures. Yet, the acclimatory capacity of thermal limits has rarely been measured in tropical species, even though they are generally predicted to be smaller than in temperate species. We compared critical thermal maximum (CT_max) and warming tolerance (WT: the difference between CT_max and maximum temperature, T_max), as well as CT_max acclimatory capacity of toad species from the Atlantic forest (AF) and the Brazilian Caatinga (CAA), a semi-arid habitat with high temperatures. Acclimation temperatures represented the mean temperatures of AF and CAA habitats, making estimates of CT_max and WT more ecologically realistic. CAA species mean CT_max was higher compared to AF species in both acclimation treatments. Clutches within species, as well as between AF and CAA species, differed in CT_max plasticity and we discuss the potential biological meaning of these findings. We did not find a trade-off between absolute CT_max and CT_max plasticity, indicating that species can have both high CT_max and high CT_max plasticity. Although CT_max was highly correlated to T_max, CT_max plasticity was not related to T_max or T_max coefficients of variation. CAA species mean WT was lower than for AF species, but still very high for all species, diverging from other studies with tropical species. This might be partially related to over-estimation of vulnerability due to under-appreciation of realistic acclimation treatments in CT_max estimation. Thus, some tropical species might not be as vulnerable to warming as previously predicted if CT_max is considered as a shifting population parameter.