A mathematical model of twin-twin transfusion syndrome with pulsatile arterial circulations

The twin-twin transfusion syndrome (TTTS) is a severe complication of monochorionic twin pregnancies caused by a net transfusion of blood from one twin (the donor) to the other (the recipient) through placental anastomoses. To examine the pathophysiology of TTTS evolving through clinical stages I to IV, we extended our mathematical model to include pulsating circulations propagating along the arterial tree as well as placental and cerebral vascular resistances, and arterial wall thickness and stiffness. The model demonstrates that abnormal umbilical arterial flow (TTTS stage III) in the donor twin results from increased placental resistance as well as reduced resistance in the cerebral arteries. In contrast, recipient twin abnormal umbilical arterial flow requires a significantly greater increase in placental resistance, resulting from the compressive effects of high amniotic fluid pressure. Thus simulated abnormalities of donor umbilical arterial pulsations occur in the donor more commonly and earlier than in the recipient. The "normal" staging sequence (I, II, III, IV) correlates with the presence of compensating placental anastomoses, constituting the majority of monochorionic twin placentas. However, TTTS stage III may occur before manifestations of stage II (lack of donor bladder filling), in our model correlating with severe TTTS from a single arteriovenous anastomosis, an infrequent occurring placental angioarchitecture. In conclusion, this mathematical model describes the onset and development of the four stages of TTTS, reproduces a variety of clinical manifestations, and may contribute to identifying the underlying pathophysiology of the staging sequence in TTTS.