Seasonal water availability predicts the relative abundance of C3 and C4 grasses in Australia

Aim Numerous studies have examined the climatic factors that influence the abundance of C₄ species within the grass flora (C₄ relative species richness) in various regions throughout the world, but very few have examined the relative abundance of C₄ vs. C₃ grasses (C₄ relative abundance). We sought to determine the climatic factors that influence C₄ relative abundance throughout Australia. Location Australia (including Tasmania). Methods We measured C₄ relative abundance at 168 locations and measured δ¹³C (the abundance of ¹³C relative to ¹²C) of the bone collagen of 779 kangaroos collected throughout Australia, as bone collagen δ¹³C was assumed to be proportional to the relative abundance of C₄ grasses in the diet. Results Both C₄ relative abundance and kangaroo bone collagen δ¹³C were found to have a strong positive relationship with seasonal water availability, i.e. the distribution of rainfall in the C₄ vs. C₃ growing seasons (76% and 69% of deviance explained, respectively). There was clear evidence that seasonal water availability was a better predictor of both C₄ relative abundance and bone collagen δ¹³C than other climate variables such as mean annual temperature and January daily minimum temperature. However, seasonal water availability appeared to be a relatively poor predictor of C₄ relative species richness, which was most closely related to January daily minimum temperature (90% of deviance explained). Main conclusions Our results highlight the relatively poor relationship between C₄ relative abundance and C₄ relative species richness, and suggest that these two variables may be related to different climatic factors. They also suggest that caution is required when using C₄ relative species richness to infer the relative biomass and productivity of C₄ grasses on a global scale.