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Agent-based modeling and simulation for the circular economy: Lessons learned and path forward
Authors:Julien Walzberg  Jean-Marc Frayret  Annika L Eberle  Alberta Carpenter  Garvin Heath
Institution:1. National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, Colorado, USA;2. Department of Mathematics and Industrial Engineering, Polytechnique Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada;3. National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, Colorado, USA

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Institute, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA;4. National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, Colorado, USA

Joint Institute for Strategic Energy Analysis, Golden, Colorado, USA

Abstract:Circular economy aims at decoupling human activities from resource use and creating wealth. However, many have questioned the link between increased circularity and sustainability, resulting in several methodological approaches being developed to answer that question. This article analyzes and discusses the insights gained from applying agent-based modeling and simulation to study the techno-economic and social conditions promoting circularity and sustainability. This article analyzes the benefits and limitations of this technology and discusses future methodology developments within the circular economy context. Moreover, six limits of the circular economy concept are used to interpret insights from the literature: thermodynamic limits, system boundary limits, limits posed by the physical scale of the economy, limits posed by path dependencies and lock-in, limits of governance and management, and limits of social and cultural definitions. Promising research avenues are to use this methodology with machine learning, industrial ecology methods, and detailed geographic information.
Keywords:agent-based modeling  circular economy  electronics  end of life  industrial ecology  renewable energy  sociotechnical systems
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