Optimization of reproductive effort and foraging time in mammals: The influence of resource level and predation risk

Summary The trade-off between fitness benefits from foraging and associated costs in terms of predation risk is analysed by a simple model which takes into account the differential predation risk for reproducing and non-reproducing individuals. The currency that animals are assumed to maximize is their expected absolute fitness (probability of survival plus half of the expected litter size) after a potential reproductive period. Depending on resource levels and predation risk, this maximization can be achieved by (1) opting for individual survival and behaving as a strict time minimizer, (2) by reproducing at the maximal rate and behaving as a strict energy maximizer or (3) by submaximal reproductive effort and a behaviour intermediate between time minimization and energy maximization. Small changes in the availability of food or cover or in the density of predators can shift the optimum from one strategy to another. The shift is particularly abrupt, if predation pressure increases and the availability of resources remains high. This could explain the spatial and temporal variation in the reproductive effort and body weight observed in boreal small mammals with sustained, multiannual population fluctuations.