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The geography of spatial synchrony
Authors:Jonathan A. Walter  Lawrence W. Sheppard  Thomas L. Anderson  Jude H. Kastens  Ottar N. Bjørnstad  Andrew M. Liebhold  Daniel C. Reuman
Affiliation:1. Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USA;2. Department of Biology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA;3. Kansas Biological Survey, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USA;4. Department of Entomology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA;5. Departments of Entomology and Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA;6. USDA Forest Service Northern Research Station, Morgantown, WV, USA;7. Laboratory of Populations, Rockefeller University, New York, NY, USA
Abstract:Spatial synchrony, defined as correlated temporal fluctuations among populations, is a fundamental feature of population dynamics, but many aspects of synchrony remain poorly understood. Few studies have examined detailed geographical patterns of synchrony; instead most focus on how synchrony declines with increasing linear distance between locations, making the simplifying assumption that distance decay is isotropic. By synthesising and extending prior work, we show how geography of synchrony, a term which we use to refer to detailed spatial variation in patterns of synchrony, can be leveraged to understand ecological processes including identification of drivers of synchrony, a long‐standing challenge. We focus on three main objectives: (1) showing conceptually and theoretically four mechanisms that can generate geographies of synchrony; (2) documenting complex and pronounced geographies of synchrony in two important study systems; and (3) demonstrating a variety of methods capable of revealing the geography of synchrony and, through it, underlying organism ecology. For example, we introduce a new type of network, the synchrony network, the structure of which provides ecological insight. By documenting the importance of geographies of synchrony, advancing conceptual frameworks, and demonstrating powerful methods, we aim to help elevate the geography of synchrony into a mainstream area of study and application.
Keywords:Graph theory  gypsy moth     Lymantria dispar     modularity  spatial synchrony  synchrony network  terrestrial primary productivity
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