Ontogenetic development underlies population response to mortality

Understanding demographic responses to mortality is crucial to predictive ecology. While classic ecological theory posits reductions in population biomass in response to extrinsic mortality, models containing realistic developmental change predict the potential for counterintuitive increase in stage-specific biomass, i.e. biomass overcompensation. Patterns of biomass overcompensation should be predictable based on differences in the relative energetic efficiencies of juvenile maturation and adult reproduction. Specifically, in populations where reproduction is the limiting process, adult-specific mortality should enhance total reproduction and thus juvenile biomass. We tested this prediction by inducing an array of stage-specific harvesting treatments across replicate populations of Daphnia pulex. In accordance with reproductive regulation, the greatest biomass response occurred in the juvenile Daphnia stage and this response occurred most strongly in response to adult mortality. Nevertheless, we failed to detect significant biomass overcompensation and instead report largely compensatory effects. In total, our work demonstrates that knowledge of population structure is necessary to accurately predict population dynamics, but cautions that further research is needed to illuminate the factors generating over-compensatory versus compensatory responses across natural populations.