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Does signal-free detrending increase chronology coherence in large tree-ring networks?
Institution:1. Department of Geography, Environment & Society, University of Minnesota, United States;2. U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, Bozeman, MT, United States;3. Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research and School of Geography, Development, and Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States;1. CEF – Forest Research Centre, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Tapada da Ajuda, 1349-017 Lisboa, Portugal;2. CFE – Centre for Functional Ecology – Science for People & the Planet, Department of Life Sciences, University of Coimbra, Calçada Martim de Freitas, 3000-456 Coimbra, Portugal;3. Ecofield, Monitorizações, Estudos e Projetos, LDA, Carcavelos, Portugal;1. Technische Universität München, Ökoklimatologie, Freising, Germany;2. Technische Universität München, Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions, Freising, Germany;3. Technische Universität München, Institute for Advanced Study, Garching, Germany;1. Idaho Tree-Ring Lab, Department of Geography, University of Idaho, 875 Perimeter Dr. MS3021, Moscow, ID 83843-3021, USA;2. Appalachian Tree Ring Lab, Department of Geography and Planning, Appalachian State University, PO Box 32066, Boone, NC 28608, USA;3. Earth Sciences & Map Library, Benson Earth Sciences, Room 165G, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, USA;1. School of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, University of Melbourne, 500 Yarra Boulevard, Richmond, Victoria, 3121, Australia;2. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales, CONICET, CCT-Mendoza, Casilla de Correo 330, 5500 Mendoza, Argentina;3. Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Silwood Park Campus, Buckhurst Road, Ascot, SL5 7PY, United Kingdom;4. Climate Change Research Centre, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia;5. Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades New York, 10964, USA;6. Gondwana Tree-Ring Laboratory, Little River, Canterbury, New Zealand;7. Department of Forest and Wood Science, Stellenbosch University, 7602, Matieland, South Africa;1. Laboratory of tree-ring research, Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Staromonetniy Lane, 29, 119017 Moscow, Russia;2. National Research University, Higher School of Economics, Faculty of Geography and Geoinformation Technologies, Pokrovsky Boulevard-11, L212, Russia;1. Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States;2. Department of Earth and Spatial Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, Idaho, United States;3. Faculty of Science, Charles University in Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
Abstract:Over the past decade, dendrochronologists have increasingly adopted the signal-free detrending (SFD) method to remove age-size trends in tree-ring measurement series, amplify the common stand-wide signal in composite chronologies, and recover medium- to low-frequency patterns that may be inadvertently removed by other detrending approaches. However, since its introduction in 2008, no systematic evaluation of the effects of SFD on tree-ring chronologies has been performed. Here we conduct the first review of SFD in dendrochronology and assess its effects when applied to large tree-ring networks. We analyzed the PAGES North America 2 K database of nearly 300 temperature-sensitive chronologies and the Missouri River database of over 350 chronologies curated for the purpose of reconstructing Missouri River streamflow. Both databases contain multiple versions of each chronology generated by different detrending methods, including those produced with (and without) the signal-free procedure applied. We evaluated (i) whether SFD increases chronology coherence at the site level by boosting the between-tree agreement, (ii) whether SFD increases coherence on a regional basis by making neighboring chronologies more similar to each other, and (iii) whether signal-free chronologies retained more medium- to low-frequency variability than their traditional counterparts. We find that, while SFD increased the strength of common signals in many instances, the effect was not universal and some sites even show a decrease in signal coherence. At regional scales, SFD increases chronology coherence in temperature-sensitive records but had no detectable effect on moisture-sensitive records. Our results demonstrate the importance of evaluating the effects of SFD prior to deploying this method for chronology development and paleoclimate reconstruction.
Keywords:Dendrochronology  Tree-rings  Signal-free detrending  Paleoclimatology
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