Typical trajectories of coupled degrade-and-fire oscillators: from dispersed populations to massive clustering

We consider the dynamics of a piecewise affine system of degrade-and-fire oscillators with global repressive interaction, inspired by experiments on synchronization in colonies of bacteria-embedded genetic circuits. Due to global coupling, if any two oscillators happen to be in the same state at some time, they remain in sync at all subsequent times; thus clusters of synchronized oscillators cannot shrink as a result of the dynamics. Assuming that the system is initiated from random initial configurations of fully dispersed populations (no clusters), we estimate asymptotic cluster sizes as a function of the coupling strength. A sharp transition is proved to exist that separates a weak coupling regime of unclustered populations from a strong coupling phase where clusters of extensive size are formed. Each phenomena occurs with full probability in the thermodynamics limit. Moreover, the maximum number of asymptotic clusters is known to diverge linearly in this limit. In contrast, we show that with positive probability, the number of asymptotic clusters remains bounded, provided that the coupling strength is sufficiently large.