An Extreme Value Analysis of Pollutant Concentrations in Surface Soils Due to Atmospheric Deposition

Risk assessments often rely on deterministic models using long-term averages or “steady-state” values of input variables. Such models do not provide the information needed to estimate acute exposures. This study uses extreme value theory to examine the frequency and magnitude of daily pollutant concentrations in surface soils predicted at six U.S. locations. Concentrations are predicted using a deposition-leaching model and 50 years of historical precipitation data. A stochastic model also is used to generate 1000 years of precipitation data as modeling inputs for each location. The annual maximum concentrations at each site are fitted to a Gumbel type I distribution to estimate occurrence probability. For soluble pollutants, the predicted concentration varied substantially with precipitation, and the maximum daily concentrations exceeded annual averages by 4 to 8 times. Observed and synthetic precipitation data produced similar results at most study locations, though the synthetic data provided a slightly better fit to the Gumbel type I distribution. The precipitation model allows the generation of representative precipitation data that extend limited historical records. The extreme value analysis facilitates the evaluation of maximum pollutant concentrations, return periods, and other statistics that are important in evaluating acute exposures.     

Orchid seed sensitivity to nitrate reflects habitat preferences and soil nitrate content

• Orchids are distributed around the world, however, the factors shaping their specific distribution and habitat preferences are largely unknown. Moreover, many orchids are at risk of becoming threatened as landscapes change, sometimes declining without apparent reason. One important factor affecting plant distribution is nutrient levels in the environment. Nitrates can inhibit not only orchid growth and persistence, but also seed germination.
• We used in vitro axenic cultures to exactly determine the germination sensitivity of seven orchid species to nitrates and correlated this with soil properties of the natural sites and with the species’ habitat preferences.
• We found high variation in response to nitrate between species. Orchids from oligotrophic habitats were highly sensitive, while orchids from more eutrophic habitats were almost insensitive. Sensitivity to nitrate was also associated with soil parameters that indicated a higher nitrification rate.
• Our results indicate that nitrate can affect orchid distribution via direct inhibition of seed germination. Nitrate levels in soils are increasing rapidly due to intensification of agricultural processes and concurrent soil pollution, and we propose this increase could cause a decline in some orchid species.

     

Uptake and assimilation of nitrogen from solutions containing multiple N sources

We assessed the extent to which plants can acquire amino acids when supplied as single N-sources or when plants have access to a mixture of amino- and inorganic N sources. Because the uptake of different N-sources is temperature-dependent, the effects of temperature on amino-N uptake were also tested. Lolium perenne (perennial rye-grass) was grown hydroponically at 11 °C or 21 °C. Uptake of N was determined using ¹⁵N tracers at the growth temperature from solutions containing either nitrate, ammonium or glycine as single N sources and from a mixture containing all three N-forms. Estimates of the relative importance of amino acids such as glycine to the total N budget of plants will have been underestimated in studies where uptake was determined in single source solutions compared with those from solutions containing a mixture of N-forms. The proportion of total N acquired from the mixed N source as ammonium increased as temperature was reduced. Regarding the uptake and initial metabolism of glycine, uptake was probably the rate limiting step at 11 °C whilst it was the metabolism of glycine to serine at 21 °C. Although ¹⁵N incorporation into the plant amino-N pool was generally in proportion to the abundance of individual amino acids, its incorporation into the glycine pool was sometimes significantly less than predicted.     

Concentration and flux of solutes from snow and forest floor during snowmelt in the West-Central Adirondack region of New York

Decreases in pH and increases in the concentration of Al and NO ₃ ^– have been observed in surface waters draining acid-sensitive regions in the northeastern U.S. during spring snowmelt. To assess the source of this acidity, we evaluated solute concentrations in snowpack, and in meltwater collected from snow and forest floor lysimeters in the west-central Adirondack Mountains of New York during the spring snowmelt period, 29 March through 15 April 1984.During the initial phase of snowmelt, ions were preferentially leached from the snowpack resulting in elevated concentrations in snowmelt water (e.g. H⁺ = 140 eq.l^–1; NO ₄ ^2– = 123 eq.l^–1; SO ₃ ^– = 160 eq.l^–1). Solute concentrations decreased dramatically within a few days of the initial melt (< 50 eq.l^–1). The concentrations of SO ₄ ^2– and NO ₃ ^– in snowpack and snowmelt water were similar, whereas NO^– ₃ in the forest floor leachate was at least two times the concentration of SO ₄ ^2– .Study results suggest that the forest floor was a sink for snowmelt inputs of alkalinity, and a net source of H⁺, NO ₃ ^– , dissolved organic carbon, K⁺ and Al inputs to the mineral soil. The forest floor was relatively conservative with respect to snowmelt inputs of Ca²⁺, SO ₄ ^2– and Cl^–. These results indicate that mineralization of N, followed by nitrification in the forest floor may be an important process contributing to elevated concentrations of H⁺ and NO ₃ ^– in streams during the snowmelt period.