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An Extreme Value Analysis of Pollutant Concentrations in Surface Soils Due to Atmospheric Deposition
Risk assessments often rely on deterministic models using long-term averages or “steady-state” values of input variables. Such models do not provide the information needed to estimate acute exposures. This study uses extreme value theory to examine the frequency and magnitude of daily pollutant concentrations in surface soils predicted at six U.S. locations. Concentrations are predicted using a deposition-leaching model and 50 years of historical precipitation data. A stochastic model also is used to generate 1000 years of precipitation data as modeling inputs for each location. The annual maximum concentrations at each site are fitted to a Gumbel type I distribution to estimate occurrence probability. For soluble pollutants, the predicted concentration varied substantially with precipitation, and the maximum daily concentrations exceeded annual averages by 4 to 8 times. Observed and synthetic precipitation data produced similar results at most study locations, though the synthetic data provided a slightly better fit to the Gumbel type I distribution. The precipitation model allows the generation of representative precipitation data that extend limited historical records. The extreme value analysis facilitates the evaluation of maximum pollutant concentrations, return periods, and other statistics that are important in evaluating acute exposures. 相似文献
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- Orchids are distributed around the world, however, the factors shaping their specific distribution and habitat preferences are largely unknown. Moreover, many orchids are at risk of becoming threatened as landscapes change, sometimes declining without apparent reason. One important factor affecting plant distribution is nutrient levels in the environment. Nitrates can inhibit not only orchid growth and persistence, but also seed germination.
- We used in vitro axenic cultures to exactly determine the germination sensitivity of seven orchid species to nitrates and correlated this with soil properties of the natural sites and with the species’ habitat preferences.
- We found high variation in response to nitrate between species. Orchids from oligotrophic habitats were highly sensitive, while orchids from more eutrophic habitats were almost insensitive. Sensitivity to nitrate was also associated with soil parameters that indicated a higher nitrification rate.
- Our results indicate that nitrate can affect orchid distribution via direct inhibition of seed germination. Nitrate levels in soils are increasing rapidly due to intensification of agricultural processes and concurrent soil pollution, and we propose this increase could cause a decline in some orchid species.
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Diurnal variation in ion content of the solution bathing roots of two plants growing together in sand culture was analysed
for three pairs of grass-legume species (Lolium multiflorum andTrifolium pratense; Zea mays andGlycine hispida; Avena sativa andVicia sativa) and their monospecific controls. Biomass and nitrogen content of plants were determined.
Ion concentration (NO
3
−
, NO
2
−
, NH
4
+
, and K+) and pH of root solutions were measured for Lolium-Trifolium plant pairs and controls at 6 hours intervals over 36 h, starting
at 8 am within a circadian cycle. Root solutions were regularly depleted in NO
3
−
by the grasses (Lolium-Lolium control) throughout the cycle. For associations involving the legume (Lolium-Trifolium and
Trifolium-Trifolium), NO
3
−
depletion was followed by NO
3
−
enrichment at night, from late afternoon to early morning; the enrichment was more marked for the Lolium-Trifolium association.
Solutions which did not contain NO
2
−
ions, were enriched by trace amounts of NH
4
+
ions, largely depleted in K+ and alkalanized for all associations throughout the cycle.
Repeating the experiment with the three pairs of species at the vegetative phase of development confirmed the previous results:
NO
3
−
enrichment during the night for associations with legumes. When the experiment was repeated with older plants which had almost
completed their flowering stage, depletion only was observed and no NO
3
−
enrichment.
These data suggest that NO
3
−
enrichment results from N excretion from active nodulated roots of the legume, accounting for the increase in both biomass
and nitrogen content of the companion grass in grass-legume association. The quantitative importance and periodicity of nitrogen
excretion as well as the origin of nitrate enrichment are discussed. 相似文献
9.
Anin situ method, derived from anin vivo method, was used to determine nitrate reductase activity (NRA) in:i) excised barley and corn shoots and excised soybean leaves
during a N-depletion experiment and; ii) roots and shoots of N-depleted barley and corn seedlings during induction of nitrate,
reductase (NR). Nitrate reduction, calculated from thesein situ RNA measurements, was compared with estimates of each organ's nitrate reduction in light aerobic conditions from NO
3
−
consumption and a15N model (Gojonet al., 1986b).
Thein situ RNA of roots strongly underestimated their15NO
3
−
reduction. In contrast, in barley and corn shoots and in the first trifoliolate leaves from 26-day-old, soybean, thein situ NRA assay gave a fair approximation of the true NO
3
−
reduction rate (relative differences ranging from −14 to +32%). In young soybean leaves (from 20-day-old plants), however,
thein situ NRA strongly underestimated the actual NO
3
−
reduction. The physiological significance of thein situ NRA assay in shoots and roots, and its value for field studies are discussed from these results. 相似文献
10.
Soil N mineralization and nitrification in relation to nitrogen solution chemistry in a small forested watershed 总被引:6,自引:1,他引:5
Spatial variations in soil processes regulating mineral N losses to streams were studied in a small watershed near Toronto, Ontario. Annual net N mineralization in the 0–8 cm soil was measured in adjacent upland and riparian forest stands using in situ soil incubations from April 1985 to 1987. Mean annual rates of soil N mineralization and nitrification were higher in a maple soil (93.8 and 87.0 kg.ha–1) than in a pine soil (23.3 and 8.2 kg.ha–1 ). Very low mean rates of mineralization (3.3 kg.ha–1) and nitrification (3.4 kg.ha–1) were found in a riparian hemlock stand. Average NO3-N concentrations in soil solutions were 0.3–1.0 mg.L–1 in the maple stand and >0.06mg.L–1 in the pine stand. Concentrations of NO3–N in shallow ground water and stream water were 3–4× greater in a maple subwatershed than in a pine subwatershed. Rapid N uptake by vegetation was an important mechanism reducing solution losses of NO3–N in the maple stand. Low rates of nitrification were mainly responsible for negligible NO3–N solution losses in the pine stand. 相似文献