Geographic patterns of simulated establishment of two Bouteloua species: implications for distributions of dominants and ecotones

Abstract. Our overall objective was to use a soil water model to predict spatial patterns in germination and establishment of two important perennial C₄-bunchgrasses across the North American shortgrass steppe and desert grassland regions. We also predicted changes in establishment patterns under climate change scenarios. Bouteloua gracilis dominates the shortgrass steppe from northeastern Colorado to southeastern New Mexico. Bouteloua eriopoda dominates desert grasslands in central and southern New Mexico. Germination and establishment for each species were predicted at 16 sites along the gradient using a daily time step, multi-layer soil water model (SOILWAT) to determine the percentage of years that temperature and soil water criteria for germination and establishment were met. Percentage of years with predicted establishment decreased from north to south for B. gracilis, but increased from north to south for B. eriopoda, comparable to observed dominance patterns. The 95 % confidence interval around the point at which simulated establishment were equal for the two species was near the location of the shortgrass steppe-desert grassland ecotone where both species are abundant. The intersection in percentage of years with establishment for the two species was predicted to move further north when climate was scaled using three Global Circulation Models (GCMs), indicating a possible northward expansion of B. eriopoda. Our results suggest that recruitment by seed may be an important process in determining, at least in part, the geographic distribution of these two species. Changes in climate that affect establishment constraints could result in shifts of species dominance that may or may not be accompanied by changes in species composition.     

Thoughts of a Travelling Ecologist,6 On monitoring

正Monitoring.We,ecologists,hear the word nearly every day.From the most unexpected corners this word springs out,much used and abused.One one hand,it is often used by my peers to justify their work,their project or even their existence as scientists.They claim to do useful work,because they monitor some phenomenon or another.This,goes the ar-     

The reaction of copper-2,9-dimethyl-1,10-phenanthroline with hydrogen peroxide

The copper complex of 2,9-dimethyl-1,10-phenanthroline(2,9-dmp) is accumulated by a variety of organisms and is highly toxic. Bioaccumulation depends on reduction of copper(II) to (I), since only the copper(I)-2,9-dmp complex is lipophilic. In the case of the marine diatom, Nitzschia closterium, it is proposed that hydrogen peroxide, produced by the algae during photosynthesis, is the in vivo reductant. Hydrogen peroxide rapidly reduces copper(II)-2,9-dmp, but an excess of H₂O₂ leads to destruction of the yellow copper(I) complex. Rate constants for the formation and degradation of the yellow complex are reported. Oxygen, light, and a hydroxylating agent are released during the degradation reaction. A reaction mechanism is proposed for the destruction of copper-2,9-dmp by excess H₂O₂, involving attack on the 5, 6 positions of the phenanthroline ring by hydroxyl radical, then further oxidation by singlet oxygen and H₂O₂. These in vivo degradation reactions are believed to be the cause of the extreme toxicity of the complex.