Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of West Java Water Sustainability Index – A case study on Citarum catchment in Indonesia

Water sustainability indices have been recently used to measure the sustainability of water resources within a catchment. Developing a sustainability index involves various steps, some of which have uncertainties associated with them. For the recently developed West Java Water Sustainability Index (WJWSI), three sources of uncertainties were identified, namely uncertainties in the thresholds of non-categorical indicators and sub-indicators, in the weighting schemes, and in the aggregation methods. This paper presents the uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of WJWSI, based on the application of WJWSI to Citarum catchment in West Java, Indonesia. The results of the uncertainty analysis, measured by the coefficient of variation of the thresholds and the sub-indices, indicates that minimum thresholds of Land Use Changes, Coverage, Education, Poverty, Health Impact and Sanitation, and the maximum threshold of Water Quality have higher variation when compared to variation of the other thresholds. The results of the sensitivity analysis, measured by the correlation coefficients between the final index and the thresholds, indicate that changes in the thresholds of WJWSI indicators have not significantly affected the sub-index values of most indicators and sub-indicators. The sensitivity analysis also concluded that either the equal or non-equal weighting scheme can be used for future use of the aggregation of WJWSI indicators and sub-indicators, as changes from equal to non-equal weighting scheme did not significantly affect the final index. However, it was found that the final index values were most sensitive to the aggregation method used (i.e. arithmetic and geometric methods), shown by the significant changes in the final index value when the aggregation method was changed from arithmetic to geometric. The uncertainty and sensitivity analysis presented in this study will not just assist in the efficient use of the WJWSI, but will also help undertake similar analysis for other indices.     

Angiotensinogen promoter and angiotensinogen II receptor type 1 gene polymorphisms and incidence of ischemic stroke and neurologic phenotype in Fabry disease

Abstract

Context: Stroke and/or white matter lesions (WMLs) are significant in Fabry disease. Polymorphisms of angiotensinogen (AGT), AGT Promoter and angiotensinogen II receptor type 1 (AGTR1) are correlated with WMLs.

Objectives: We compared AGT. AGT Promoter and AGTR1 genotypes to stroke incidence, Fabry-specific [Mainz Severity Score Index (MSSI)] severity score, and neurologic sub-score (n-MSSI).

Methods: Sixty-three Fabry patients and 49 matched controls plus historic controls were genotyped. Institutional Review Board approval was received.

Results. C and/or CC alleles of AGT Promoter and AGTR1 were significantly correlated with stroke and n-MSSI.

Discussion/conclusion: Findings are suggestive of role of AGT Promoter and AGTR1 genotypes in Fabry phenotypes.     

A variable selection index for the compensation of correlated genetic change

Summary A selection index for two traits has been constructed which allows partial restriction for one of the traits. The index is used in a situation where correlated response to selection in one sex is compenstated for by selection for other traits in the opposite sex. A numerical example is given.     

A generalised transducing bacteriophage for Rhodococcus erythropolis

Summary Q4, a bacteriophage isolated from soil, mediated the transduction of a number of unlinked markers in Rhodococcus erythropolis. Highest numbers of transductants were obtained at multiplicities of infection of over 100, transductants only being obtained because of the temperate nature of the phage. Under optimal conditions, transduction to prototrophy of auxotrophic markers was over 50 times the spontaneous reversion rate and transduction of some antibitic resistance markers was over 10 times the spontaneous mutation rate. Segregation of unselected, but linked, markers was observed and the phage was used to order loci in a three factor cross. The virus required magnesium ions. Highest phage titres and greatest transduction frequency were obtained with stationary phase cultures.     

Induction of hepatic metallothionein by salicylate in adult rats

Application of salicylate increased the concentration of metallothionein (MT) in liver of pregnant rats as well as of adult male rats, whereas in fetal liver, MT was reduced by salicylate. Induction of MT synthesis by salicylate is an indirect effect because in cultured hepatocytes salicylate did not induce MT synthesis. Salicylate increased MT also in adrenalectomized rats. Indomethacin induced the same concentration of MT in maternal liver as salicylate. However, indomethacin had no effect on MT in fetal liver. Induction of MT in adult liver by salicylate and indomethacin was independent of zinc.     

Effects of etretinate on the distribution of elements in rats

We studied in the rat the effects of the drug etretinate (Tigason), given at three doses 3, 10, and 30 mg/kg body wt for 1 mo, on the concentrations of Na, K, Ca, Mg, Fe, S, P, Cu, and Zn in the plasma, brain, thymus, heart, liver, lung, kidney, testicle, muscle, and bone. The elements were simultaneously determined in tissues after nitric acid dissolution by inductively coupled plasma emission spectrometry using a JY 48 instrument. At the dose of 3 mg/kg, etretinate did not induce any statistically significant modifications of the element distribution. At the dose of 10 mg/kg, the main observed modifications were in plasma an increase of copper (+38%) and a decrease of zinc (-25%). At the highest dose of 30 mg/kg, some variations of the concentrations of elements in tissues were observed. But, on no account did retinoids induce an alteration of the mineral composition of bone, despite obvious macroscopic bone alterations.     

On the mechanism of cellular cadmium uptake

Review of the available evidence on the mechanism of cellular Cd uptake in the rat jejunum supports the concept that this process consists of nonspecific binding to anionic sites on the membrane, followed by a temperature-dependent and rate-limiting internalization step. Because temperature-sensitive transmembrane movement of Cd can be demonstrated also in isolated brush-border vesicles and in erythrocyte ghosts, it is not likely to result from pinocytosis but may be related directly to membrane fluidity. There is no need to assume the existence of saturable Cd carriers, or competition of Cd with essential polyvalent cations for their specific transport systems. Uptake of Cd by tubular epithelium in the kidney of the intact rabbit appears to resemble that described for the jejunum, with the internalization step limiting the rate of uptake.     

Mechanism of comutagenesis of sodium arsenite withn-methyl-n-nitrosourea

Arsenic compounds are known carcinogens. Although many carcinogens are also mutagens, we have previously shown that sodium arsenite is not mutagenic at either the Na⁺/K⁺ ATPase orhprt locus in Chinese hamster V79 cells. It can, however, enhance UV-mutagenesis. We now confirm the nonmutagenicity of sodium arsenite in line G12, a pSV2gpt-transformed V79 (hprt ⁻) cell line, which is able to detect multilocus deletions in addition to point mutations and small deletions. The lack of arsenic mutagenicity has led to studies emphasizing its comutagenicity. Sodium arsenite at relatively nontoxic concentrations (5 μM for 24 h or 10 μM for 3 h) is comutagenic withN-methyl-N-nitrosourea (MMU) at thehprt locus in V79 cells. Using a nick translation assay, which measures DNA strand breaks by incorporating radioactive deoxyribonucleoside monophosphate at their 3′OH ends in permeabilized cells, we found that much more incorporation was seen in cells treated with MNU (4 mM, 15 min) followed by 3-h incubation with 10 μM sodium arsenite compared with cells exposed to the same MNU treatment followed by 3-h incubation without sodium arsenite. This result shows that in the presence of arsenite, strand breaks resulting from MNU or its repair accumulate over a 3-h period. We suggest that the repair of MNU-induced DNA lesions may be inhibited by arsenite either by affecting the incorporation of dNMPs into the MNU-damaged DNA template or by interfering with the ligation step.     

Multielement analysis of biological samples by inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry

Interest in the biological behavior of a growing number of elements, along with increasing recognition of the importance of interactions among them, demands a versatile and reliable technique for multielement analysis of biological samples. Significant improvements over the sensitivity achieved with conventional inductively coupled plasma (ICP) optical emission spectrometries have been realized with the introduction of quadrupole mass spectrometry (MS) for detection of ions in the plasma. The hybrid technique of ICP-MS promises to be a method of rapid multielement analysis, at detection limits that approach or surpass those of other technologies. However, the application of ICP-MS to analyses of biological interest is truly in its infancy. Here we report the use of ICP-MS for the determination of more than 30 elements of biological interest in a tissue and a biological fluid (rat liver and serum, respectively). Experimental values of the elements serve as a basis for discussion of analytical protocols, performance criteria, and certain problems peculiar to ICP-MS.     

Metallothionein induction by nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs

In the present study we report on the effects of commonly used nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs on metallothionein (MT) and MT-I mRNA levels. A single dose of chloroquine (100 mg/kg), diclofenac (100 mg/kg), indomethacin (10 mg/kg), or piroxicam (100 mg/kg) was administered ip to C57B1 mice. After 18 h, MT levels were determined with a Cd-saturation radioassay. MT-I mRNA levels were measured by Northern Blot analyses using a probe containing the mouse MT-I gene. All drugs tested caused an increase in the MT content of the liver but not of the kidneys and lung. The lowest and highest effects were observed with chloroquine (8 times the control value) and diclofenac (18 times), respectively. In accordance with the stimulation of MT synthesis, increased accumulation of hepatic MT-I mRNA could be demonstrated. These results indicate that elevated MT levels may contribute to the effectiveness of nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA).