Flood Risk Analysis Based on Information Diffusion Theory

Due to the fact that the flood data series of small drainage basins is relatively short, available data are often not sufficient for flood risk analysis. This presents the problem of risk analysis using very small data samples. One method that can be applied is to regard the available small samples as fuzzy information and optimize them using information diffusion technology to yield analytical results with greater reliability. In this article a risk analysis method based on information diffusion theory is applied to create a new flood risk analysis model. Application of the model is illustrated taking the Jinhuajiang and Qujiang drainage basins as examples. This is a new attempt at applying information diffusion theory in flood risk analysis. Computations based on this analytical flood risk model can yield an estimated flood damage value that is relatively accurate. This study indicates that the aforementioned model exhibits fairly stable analytical results, even when using a small set of sample data. The results also indicate that information diffusion technology is highly capable of extracting useful information and therefore improves system recognition accuracy. This method can be easily applied and the analytical results produced are easy to understand. Results are accurate enough to act as a guide in disaster situations.     

The Importance of Hydrodynamics for Protected and Endangered Biodiversity of Lowland Rivers

This paper examines the relationship between protected and endangered riverine species (target species) and hydrodynamics in river-floodplain ecosystems, combining ecological and policy-legal aspects of biodiversity conservation in river management. The importance of different hydrodynamic conditions along a lateral gradient was quantified for various taxonomic groups. Our results show that (i) target species require ecotopes along the entire hydrodynamic gradient; (ii) different parts of the hydrodynamic gradient are important to different species, belonging to different taxonomic groups; (iii) in particular low-dynamic parts are important for many species and (iv) species differ in their specificity for hydrodynamic conditions. Many species of higher plants, fish and butterflies have a narrow range for hydrodynamics and many species of birds and mammals use ecotopes along the entire gradient. Even when focussing only on target species, the entire natural hydrodynamic gradient is important. This means that the riverine species assemblage as a whole can benefit from measures focussing on target species only. River reconstruction and management should aim at re-establishing the entire hydrodynamic gradient, increasing the spatial heterogeneity of hydrodynamic conditions.     

Effect of rainstorms on heterotrophic bacterial activity in a hypertrophic African lake

Hartbeespoort Dam is a hypertrophic man-made lake which is located in the Transvaal Province of South Africa. This region has recently experienced its most severe drought of the century. However, on three occasions in the summer rainy seasons of 1984 and 1985, major rainfalls (> 50 mm) occurred which caused large inflows to the lake. Inflowing river water entered as a density current causing marked silting of the water. Within the epilimnion (0–10 m) prior to these rainfalls there was usually no variation of bacterial numbers with depth, but heterotrophic bacterial activity (glucose uptake) decreased with depth concomitant with primary production. With the increased river inflow bacterial numbers did not increase but bacterial activity at the bottom of the epilimnion (10 m) increased to as high as 2.7 µg C l^–1 h^–1 in January 1985, reversing the depth profile of bacterial activity within the epilimnion. This resulted in decreased glucose concentrations (K_t + S_n) and turnover times. Heterotrophic activity per cell increased by between 2.5 and 5 times. These data demonstrate that storm events are important phenomena causing short-term changes in the metabolic activity of planktonic heterotrophic bacteria in lakes.     

On the O2 flash yields of two cyanophytes

We explored O₂ flash yield in two cyanophytes, Anacystis nidulans and Agmenellum quadruplicatum. On a rate-measuring electrode, a single flash gave a contour of O₂ evolution with a peak at about 10 ms which was maximum (100) for 680 nm background light. On 625 nm illumination the peak was smaller (62) but was followed by an increased tail of O₂ attributed to enhancement of the background. After a period of darkness, repetitive flashes (5 Hz) gave a highly damped initial oscillation in individual flash yields which finally reached steady state at 94% of the yield for 680 nm illumination. When O₂ of repetitive flashes was measured as an integrated flash yield the results was distinctive and similar to that for a continuous light 1 (680 nm). An apparent inhibition of respiration which persisted into the following dark period was taken as evidence for the Kok effect. With a concentration-measuring electrode, integrated flash yield vs. flash rate showed the same nonlinear behavior as O₂ rate vs. intensity of light 1. We draw three conclusions about the two cyanophytes. (a) The plastoquinone pool is substantially reduced in darkness. (b) Because of a high ratio of reaction centers, reaction center 1 / reaction center 2, for the two photoreactions, saturating flashes behave as light 1. (c) Because repetitive flashes are light 1, they also give a Kok effect which must be guarded against in measurements designed to count reaction centers.     

The mutagenic potential of high flash aromatic naphtha

Catalytic reforming is a refining process that converts naphthenes to aromatics by dehydrogenation to make higher octane gasoline blending components. A portion of this wide boiling range hydrocarbon stream can be separated by distillation and used for other purposes. One such application is a mixture of predominantly 9-carbon aromatic molecules (C9 aromatics, primarily isomers of ethyltoluene and trimethylbenzene), which is removed and used as a solvent — high-flash aromatic naphtha. A program was initiated to assess the toxicological properties of high-flash aromatic naphtha since there may be human exposure through inhalation or external body contact. The current study was conducted partly to assess the potential for mutagenic activity and also to assist in an assessment of carcinogenic potential. The specific tests utilized included the Salmonella/mammalian microsome mutagenicity assay, the hypoxanthine-guanine phosphoribosyl transferase (HGPRT) forward mutation assay in CHO cells, in vitro chromosome aberration and sister chromatid exchange (SCE) assays in CHO cells, and an in vivo chromosome aberration assay in rat bone marrow.There was no evidence that high-flash aromatic naphtha was either a gene or chromosomal mutagen. Thus it is unlikely to be a genotoxic carcinogen.Abbreviations Brdu 5-Bromo-2-deoxyuridine - C9 Aromatic species with 9 carbons (i.e., ethyl toluene and trimethyl benzene isomers) - CE Cloning efficiency - CHO Chinese hamster embryo - CP Cyclophosphamide - DMSO Dimethyl sulfoxide - HGPRT Hypoxanthine-guanine phosphoribosyl transferase - HVAC Heating, Ventilation, Air Conditioning - 3MC 3 Methylcholanthrene - MMC Mitomycin C - MMS Methyl methanesulfonate - S9 S9 Mammalian microsomal enzyme activation mixture - SCE Sister chromatid exchange     

The detection and attribution of extreme reductions in vegetation growth across the global land surface

Negative extreme anomalies in vegetation growth (NEGs) usually indicate severely impaired ecosystem services. These NEGs can result from diverse natural and anthropogenic causes, especially climate extremes (CEs). However, the relationship between NEGs and many types of CEs remains largely unknown at regional and global scales. Here, with satellite-derived vegetation index data and supporting tree-ring chronologies, we identify periods of NEGs from 1981 to 2015 across the global land surface. We find 70% of these NEGs are attributable to five types of CEs and their combinations, with compound CEs generally more detrimental than individual ones. More importantly, we find that dominant CEs for NEGs vary by biome and region. Specifically, cold and/or wet extremes dominate NEGs in temperate mountains and high latitudes, whereas soil drought and related compound extremes are primarily responsible for NEGs in wet tropical, arid and semi-arid regions. Key characteristics (e.g., the frequency, intensity and duration of CEs, and the vulnerability of vegetation) that determine the dominance of CEs are also region- and biome-dependent. For example, in the wet tropics, dominant individual CEs have both higher intensity and longer duration than non-dominant ones. However, in the dry tropics and some temperate regions, a longer CE duration is more important than higher intensity. Our work provides the first global accounting of the attribution of NEGs to diverse climatic extremes. Our analysis has important implications for developing climate-specific disaster prevention and mitigation plans among different regions of the globe in a changing climate.     

Environmental influences on local amphibian diversity: the role of floods on river basins

We tested two hypotheses about boundary units and seven about environmental control of species diversity in order to explain geographical trends in the richness of amphibian species in the Mediterranean watershed of the southern coast of the Iberian Peninsula. The number of amphibian species tends to decrease from west to east. The longitudinal trend in the richness of amphibian species actually occurs on passing from one basin to another, but there is not any longitudinal trend within the basins. Multivariate analyses confirmed that the disturbances of episodic river-basin floodings were the principal factor which controls the richness of amphibian species. They explained 94.8% of the observed variations in the richness of amphibian species in this area, according to the intermediate disturbance hypothesis.We propose hydrographic basins as suitable geographical units for further biogeographical analysis and for considering the role of disturbances produced by floods in the environmental control of species diversity.     

Hatching plasticity in a Southeast Asian tree frog mitigates submergence-induced mortality

Environmentally cued hatching has been well-documented in amphibians in response to a wide range of abiotic and biotic factors. The hatching of terrestrial amphibian eggs in response to flooding may be basal within the group, but amphibian lineages in tropical Asia and sub-Saharan Africa have not received as much attention as their Neotropical counterparts. We investigated submergence-induced hatching in Feihyla hansenae, a Rhacophorid tree frog with terrestrial eggs. We quantified natural rates of clutch submergence at our study site in Thailand. Using submergence experiments, we found that embryos are capable of hatching early to escape flooding, and that failure to hatch results in mortality. Among the embryos that were able to hatch early, only the earliest, youngest hatchlings experienced a trade-off in body size that persisted for 6 days, while later, older hatchlings were not significantly smaller than spontaneous hatchlings under control conditions. By incorporating our natural and experimental data into Monte Carlo methods to simulate and compare survival probabilities with and without hatching plasticity, we found an overall 3.1% increase in submergence survival due to hatching plasticity. Our findings support the idea that flooding-induced hatching is widespread across amphibians with terrestrial eggs and highlight the importance of researching understudied tropical regions. As climate change is projected to affect rainfall patterns, the ability of embryos to escape abiotic egg-stage threats may be an indicator of species' ability to flexibly navigate a changing environment.     

Influence of flood timing on the recovery of macrophytes in a former river channel

Over two vegetation cycles we compared the recovery of macrophytes from flood disturbances that occured at different seasons (July vs December) on patches of a former channel of the Rhône River, France. Some patches were disturbed twice; others were disturbed either in summer or in winter; others were never disturbed and were used as controls.The recovery rate of the vegetation was estimated from the duration of recolonization of the disturbed areas and of growth of the recolonizing species. The influence of the summer disturbance appeared to be strong because the disturbance occurred when the development of the vegetation was maximum. The influence of the winter disturbance was apparently much lower since most species had already declined at this time because of their phenology. The repetition of the two disturbances on the same patch had little influence on the vegetation community.In all cases, the recovery of the vegetation occurred rapidly, both for total vegetation cover and species richness. By the following spring, no significant differences appeared between disturbed and reference patches. The effect of the disturbances varied according to the phenology of the plants, and the macrophyte community studied was more sensitive in summer than in winter.     

Quantum yield and rate of formation of the carotenoid triplet state in photosynthetic structures

The formation of the triplet state of carotenoids (detected by an absorption peak at 515 nm) and the photo-oxidation of the primary donor of Photosystem II, P-680 (detected by an absorption increase at 820 nm) have been measured by flash absorption spectroscopy in chloroplasts in which the oxygen evolution was inhibited by treatment with Tris. The amount of each transient form has been followed versus excitation flash intensity (at 590 or 694 nm). At low excitation energy the quantum yield of triplet formation (with the Photosystem II reaction center in the state Q⁻) is about 30% that of P-680 photo-oxidation. The yield of carotenoid triplet formation is higher in the state Q⁻ than in the state Q, in nearly the same proportion as chlorophyll a fluorescence. It is concluded that, for excited chlorophyll a, the relative rates of intersystem crossing to the triplet state and of fluorescence emission are the same in vivo as in organic solvent. At high flash intensity the signal of P-680⁺ completely saturates, whereas that of carotenoid triplet continues to increase.

The rate of triplet-triplet energy transfer from chlorophyll a to carotenoids has been derived from the rise time of the absorption change at 515 nm, in chloroplasts and in several light-harvesting pigment-protein complexes. In all cases the rate is very high, around 8 · 10⁷ s⁻¹ at 294 K. It is about 2–3 times slower at 5 K. The transitory formation of chlorophyll triplet has been verified in two pigment-protein complexes, at 5 K.