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Teleconnection between the early immigration of brown planthopper (Nilaparvata lugens Stål) and ENSO indices: implication for its medium- and long-term forecast 下载免费PDF全文
Teleconnection between the early immigration of brown planthopper (BPH) and El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) indices from January of two years previously to the current June was investigated to make long-term forecast. The teleconnection results were as follows: ENSO indices which were significantly correlated with the early immigration of BPH were primarily sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) in N3, N4 and N3.4 regions, accounting for 71.8% of the total. Significant ENSO indices from two years and one year before the immigration events had a proportion of about 84%, while those in the current year only accounted for 16.7%. There was significantly negative correlation between the early immigration of BPH and SSTA in each Nino region from two years before to the previous spring, whereas there was significantly positive correlation between these two factors during the period from the previous winter to the current spring. The significant correlation between the early immigration of BPH and SSTA in each Nino region in the last summer and autumn did not show any obvious tendencies. The relationship between the southern oscillation index (SOI) and the early immigration of BPH was opposite to that between the immigration and SSTA in each Nino region. The above mentioned significant ENSO indices were used as key factors to build forecasting models for the early immigration of BPH by step-wise multiple linear regression analysis. Finally, 12 integrated forecasting models were obtained, which could make predictions 3–27 months ahead and had a predictive accuracy of 88.9%. 相似文献
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褐飞虱和白背飞虱的取食为害对水稻营养生长的影响 总被引:11,自引:4,他引:7
对塑料钵栽培的水稻进行罩宠试验,研究了褐飞虱和白背飞虱在不同若虫密度下取食为害对水稻营养生长的影响.结果表明,两种飞虱的成虫干重、水稻叶面积和其地上部干重因若虫密度的增加而下降.叶片干重占地上部干重的比例和稻株分配给叶片干物质量随为害程度的加重而增大;褐飞虱和白背飞虱总干重(X)与稻株地上部损失量(Y)之间存在着极显著的线性关系.两种飞虱干重每增加1mg,水稻地上部干重则分别损失26.01mg和21.90mg.讨论了稻飞虱取食为害对水稻致害的可能机制. 相似文献
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Teleconnection between the early immigration of brown planthopper (BPH) and El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) indices from January of two years previously to the current June was investigated to make long-term forecast. The teleconnection results were as follows: ENSO indices which were significantly correlated with the early immigration of BPH were primarily sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) in N3, N4 and N3.4 regions, accounting for 71.8% of the total. Significant ENSO indices from two years and one year before the immigration events had a proportion of about 84%, while those in the current year only accounted for 16.7%. There was significantly negative correlation between the early immigration of BPH and SSTA in each Nino region from two years before to the previous spring, whereas there was significantly positive correlation between these two factors during the period from the previous winter to the current spring. The significant correlation between the early immigration of BPH and SSTA in each Nino region in the last summer and autumn did not show any obvious tendencies. The relationship between the southern oscillation index (SOI) and the early immigration of BPH was opposite to that between the immigration and SSTA in each Nino region. The above mentioned significant ENSO indices were used as key factors to build forecasting models for the early immigration of BPH by step-wise multiple linear regression analysis. Finally, 12 integrated forecasting models were obtained, which could make predictions 3–27 months ahead and had a predictive accuracy of 88.9%. 相似文献
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徽州稻区作为我国白背飞虱北迁与南迁的重要中转站之一,地理位置十分特殊,分析其中、晚稻田白背飞虱种群动态及虫源性质,对皖南稻区乃至江淮稻区白背飞虱预测预报和防治工作意义重大。通过田间系统调查和长翅雌虫卵巢解剖,研究了徽州稻区白背飞虱种群消长及虫源性质。运用GrADS和ArcGIS分析2009年白背飞虱主要迁入期的天气背景,并利用HYSPLIT轨迹模拟平台对主要迁入期进行数值模拟和虫源地分析。结果表明:2009年徽州稻区白背飞虱在中、晚稻以第3代危害为主。中稻田第2—4代白背飞虱属于基本迁出型,同时第3代前半期还存在部分滞留本地繁殖或者是外地白背飞虱迁入现象;而晚稻第3代后半期白背飞虱属于基本迁入型,第4—5代属于基本迁出型。风切变、下沉气流和强降水可作为徽州稻区预测白背飞虱迁入的气象背景。2009年徽州稻区白背飞虱虫源地主要分布在湘南、赣中及赣南。 相似文献
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褐飞虱翊型分化遗传规律的研究 总被引:13,自引:1,他引:12
以褐飞虱Nilaparvata lugens (Stal)长翅型(macroptery,简称M)、短翅型(brachyptery,简称B)的遗传纯系为实验材料,进行亲本、稻株生育期、虫口密度三因子交互实验。结果表明:(1)在环境条件(指稻株生育期、虫口密度等)一致时,B♀×B♂、B♀×M♂、M♀×B♂、M♀×M♂四种亲本组合的F1代短翅型成虫百分率分别为:98%、92%、64%、29%,各亲本组合间差异极显著;(2)亲本相同时,将F1代褐飞虱初孵若虫多头词养(多于l0头/株)在黄熟期稻株上,其长翅型雌、雄成虫百分数均高于灌浆期稻株上;(3)单头饲养实验中发现,不论亲本组合、稻株生育期如何,雌虫绝大多数分化为短翅型,而雄虫则几乎全为长翅型。这表明褐飞虱的翅型分化遗传由一个受多种因子影响的调控体系决定,且调控作用与性别有关。 相似文献
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褐飞虱迁飞参数的数值模拟 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
迁飞性害虫褐飞虱对中国和亚洲其它国家和地区的水稻有着十分严重的危害,其迁飞参数的时空变化是种群迁飞这一生态行为的重要体现。应用目前国际上先进的中尺度数值预报模式MM5 (V3.2 )对我国褐飞虱北迁、南返的过程进行了数值模拟,根据模拟结果对害虫的迁出虫源地、迁飞路径、降落区、空中迁飞速率、迁飞高度、迁飞历时和迁飞距离等迁飞参数进行了一系列的数值计算和客观分析,得到了与实际虫情普查和雷达观测资料相当吻合的结果,从而比较精确地阐明了褐飞虱迁出起飞、空中定向飞行、降落迁入等迁飞行为的动力学机制。 相似文献
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褐飞虱(Nilaparvata lugens)发生的分形性质研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
运用分形理论以安徽省庐江县植保站和江苏省吴县值保站1979~1990年及太湖地区农科所1986~1998年间褐飞虱发生的田间系统调查资料为例,对褐飞虱发生的性质进行了探讨。结果表明:(1)庐江站、吴县站和太湖地区农科所褐飞虱发生在一定标度域内具有分形性质。其分维值分别为0.7158、0.52l2和0.2816;(2)褐飞虱发生的分维值是表征一定标度区间的发生程度差异的一个新的参数,分维值大,则发生程度轻,反之则重(3)分维数D值与褐飞虱发生的聚集程度是密切相关的,D值小聚集程度大,反之聚集程度小,D值可以作为褐E虱聚集分布程度的一个指标;(4)褐飞虱发生具有多重分形结构,其广义维数谱Dq曲线可以用于褐飞虱发生的预测预报。 相似文献
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褐飞虱与白背飞虱共栖时的互作效应 总被引:10,自引:3,他引:7
用笼罩试验方法,研究了褐飞虱和白背飞虱共栖时的互作效应.结果表明,在96 h内,随时间的延长,2种飞虱对不同稻株的栖息率渐趋增加,最终达21.5~25.0%,不表 现种间差异;脉冲试验使白背飞虱的雌性率和短翅率提高 22. 1%和 398. 1%;排除试验使 白背飞虱的增殖、雌性率和雌虫短翅率各下降 8. 8%、20. 8%和 48. 0%;种间作用对增殖。 性比和翅型产生正的或负的效应.文中还讨论了种间作用存在的意义和方式. 相似文献