Complementary strengths of spatially-explicit and multi-species distribution models

Species distribution models (SDMs) project the outcome of community assembly processes – dispersal, the abiotic environment and biotic interactions – onto geographic space. Recent advances in SDMs account for these processes by simultaneously modeling the species that comprise a community in a multivariate statistical framework or by incorporating residual spatial autocorrelation in SDMs. However, the effects of combining both multivariate and spatially-explicit model structures on the ecological inferences and the predictive abilities of a model are largely unknown. We used data on eastern hemlock Tsuga canadensis and five additional co-occurring overstory tree species in 35 569 forest stands across Michigan, USA to evaluate how the choice of model structure, including spatial and non-spatial forms of univariate and multivariate models, affects ecological inference about the processes that shape community composition as well as model predictive ability. Incorporating residual spatial autocorrelation via spatial random effects did not improve out-of-sample prediction for the six tree species, although in-sample model fit was higher in the spatial models. Spatial models attributed less variation in occurrence probability to environmental covariates than the non-spatial models for all six tree species, and estimated higher (more positive) residual co-occurrence values for most species pairs. The non-spatial multivariate model was better suited for evaluating habitat suitability and hypotheses about the processes that shape community composition. Environmental correlations and residual correlations among species pairs were positively related, perhaps indicating that residual correlations were due to shared responses to unmeasured environmental covariates. This work highlights the importance of choosing a non-spatial model formulation to address research questions about the species–environment relationship or residual co-occurrence patterns, and a spatial model formulation when within-sample prediction accuracy is the main goal.     

Structure-based design of novel dihydroisoquinoline BACE-1 inhibitors that do not engage the catalytic aspartates

The structure–activity relationship of a series of dihydroisoquinoline BACE-1 inhibitors is described. Application of structure-based design to screening hit 1 yielded sub-micromolar inhibitors. Replacement of the carboxylic acid of 1 was guided by X-ray crystallography, which allowed the replacement of a key water-mediated hydrogen bond. This work culminated in compounds such as 31, which possess good BACE-1 potency, excellent permeability and a low P-gp efflux ratio.     

A widely applicable, high-throughput TR-FRET assay for the measurement of kinase autophosphorylation: VEGFR-2 as a prototype

Homogeneous time-resolved fluorescence resonance energy transfer (TR-FRET) assays represent a highly sensitive and robust high-throughput screening (HTS) method for the quantification of kinase activity. Traditional TR-FRET kinase assays detect the phosphorylation of an exogenous substrate. The authors describe the development and optimization of a TR-FRET technique that measures the autophosphorylation of vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 2 (VEGFR-2) kinase and extend its applicability to a variety of other kinases. The VEGFR-2 assay demonstrated dose-dependent inhibition by compounds known to modulate the catalytic activity of this receptor. In addition, kinetic analysis of a previously characterized VEGFR-2 inhibitor was performed using the method, and results were consistent with those obtained using a different assay format. Because of the known involvement of VEGFR-2 in angiogenesis, this assay should facilitate HTS for antiangiogenic agents. In addition, this general technique should have utility for the screening for inhibitors of kinases as potential therapeutic agents for many other disease indications.     

Highly selective c-Jun N-terminal kinase (JNK) 3 inhibitors with in vitro CNS-like pharmacokinetic properties II. Central core replacement

In this Letter, we describe the evolution of selective JNK3 inhibitors from 1, that routinely exhibit >10-fold selectivity over JNK1 and >1000-fold selectivity over related MAPKs. Strong SAR was found for substitution of the naphthalene ring, as well as for inhibitors adopting different central scaffolds. Significant potency gains were appreciated by inverting the polarity of the thione of the parent triazolothione 1, resulting in potent compounds with attractive pharmacokinetic profiles.     

Joint species distribution modelling for spatio‐temporal occurrence and ordinal abundance data

Aim

Species distribution models are important tools used to study the distribution and abundance of organisms relative to abiotic variables. Dynamic local interactions among species in a community can affect abundance. The abundance of a single species may not be at equilibrium with the environment for spreading invasive species and species that are range shifting because of climate change. Innovation : We develop methods for incorporating temporal processes into a spatial joint species distribution model for presence/absence and ordinal abundance data. We model non‐equilibrium conditions via a temporal random effect and temporal dynamics with a vector‐autoregressive process allowing for intra‐ and interspecific dependence between co‐occurring species. The autoregressive term captures how the abundance of each species can enhance or inhibit its own subsequent abundance or the subsequent abundance of other species in the community and is well suited for a ‘community modules’ approach of strongly interacting species within a food web. R code is provided for fitting multispecies models within a Bayesian framework for ordinal data with any number of locations, time points, covariates and ordinal categories.

Main conclusions

We model ordinal abundance data of two invasive insects (hemlock woolly adelgid and elongate hemlock scale) that share a host tree and were undergoing northwards range expansion in the eastern U.S.A. during the period 1997–2011. Accounting for range expansion and high inter‐annual variability in abundance led to improved estimation of the species–environment relationships. We would have erroneously concluded that winter temperatures did not affect scale abundance had we not accounted for the range expansion of scale. The autoregressive component revealed weak evidence for commensalism, in which adelgid may have predisposed hemlock stands for subsequent infestation by scale. Residual spatial dependence indicated that an unmeasured variable additionally affected scale abundance. Our robust modelling approach could provide similar insights for other community modules of co‐occurring species.     

Design of an orally efficacious hydroxyethylamine (HEA) BACE-1 inhibitor in a preclinical animal model

In this Letter, we describe our efforts to design HEA BACE-1 inhibitors that are highly permeable coupled with negligible levels of permeability-glycoprotein activity. These efforts culminate in producing 16 which lowers Αβ by 28% and 32% in the cortex and CSF, respectively, in the preclinical wild type Hartley guinea pig animal model when dosed orally at 30 mpk BID for 2.5 days.     

Improving the permeability of the hydroxyethylamine BACE-1 inhibitors: Structure–activity relationship of P2′ substituents

Herein we describe further evolution of hydroxyethylamine inhibitors of BACE-1 with enhanced permeability characteristics necessary for CNS penetration. Variation at the P2′ position of the inhibitor with more polar substituents led to compounds 19 and 32, which retained the potency of more lipophilic analog 1 but with much higher observed passive permeability in MDCK cellular assay.     

A new species of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Laboulbenia</Emphasis> and new records from Panama

Species of Laboulbenia on ground beetles (Coleoptera, Carabidae) collected in a mountain rainforest in Western Panama are described and illustrated. A new species of Laboulbenia on carabids of the genus Platynus (Platynini) in Panama is proposed. It differs from the other species of Laboulbenia mainly by curved thalli and longitudinally twisted wall cells of the perithecia with lips oriented towards strongly branched appendages. L. decipiens, L. pseudomasei, L. subpunctata, and L. tenera are newly recorded for Panama. Only one species collected during the survey is already known for Panama, L. flagellata.     

Design and synthesis of thiophene dihydroisoquinolines as novel BACE1 inhibitors

Utilizing a structure based design approach, combined with extensive medicinal chemistry execution, highly selective, potent and novel BACE1 inhibitor 8 (BACE1 Alpha assay IC₅₀ = 8 nM) was made from a weak μM potency hit in an extremely efficient way. The detailed SAR and general design approaches will be discussed.