Heat stress and mortality in Lisbon Part II. An assessment of the potential impacts of climate change

Global environmental change, in particular climate change, will have adverse effects on public health. The increased frequency/intensity of heat waves is expected to increase heat-related mortality and illness. To quantify the climatic risks of heat-related mortality in Lisbon an empirical-statistical model was developed in Part I, based on the climate-mortality relationship of the summer months of 1980-1998. In Part II, scenarios of climate and population change are applied to the model to assess the potential impacts on public health in the 2020s and 2050s, in terms of crude heat-related mortality rates. Two regional climate models (RCMs) were used and different assumptions about seasonality, acclimatisation and the estimation of excess deaths were made in order to represent uncertainty explicitly. An exploratory Bayesian analysis was used to investigate the sensitivity of the result to input assumptions. Annual heat-related death rates are estimated to increase from between 5.4 and 6 (per 100,000) for 1980-1998 to between 5.8 and 15.1 for the 2020s. By the 2050s, the potential increase ranges from 7.3 to 35.6. The burden of deaths is decreased if acclimatisation is factored in. Through a Bayesian analysis it is shown that, for the tested variables, future heat-related mortality is most sensitive to the choice of RCM and least to the method of calculating the excess deaths.     

Hand in Hand: Public Endorsement of Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation

This research investigated how an individual’s endorsements of mitigation and adaptation relate to each other, and how well each of these can be accounted for by relevant social psychological factors. Based on survey data from two European convenience samples (N = 616 / 309) we found that public endorsements of mitigation and adaptation are strongly associated: Someone who is willing to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (mitigation) is also willing to prepare for climate change impacts (adaptation). Moreover, people endorsed the two response strategies for similar reasons: People who believe that climate change is real and dangerous, who have positive attitudes about protecting the environment and the climate, and who perceive climate change as a risk, are willing to respond to climate change. Furthermore, distinguishing between (spatially) proximal and distant risk perceptions suggested that the idea of portraying climate change as a proximal (i.e., local) threat might indeed be effective in promoting personal actions. However, to gain endorsement of broader societal initiatives such as policy support, it seems advisable to turn to the distant risks of climate change. The notion that “localising” climate change might not be the panacea for engaging people in this domain is discussed in regard to previous theory and research.     

Coherent Raman spectroscopic imaging to characterize microglia activation pathway

Microglia are immune cells, which densely populate the central nervous system (CNS), and play essential role in suppression of neurodegenerative diseases, clearance of debris after CNS trauma, as well as serve as the last line of immune defense in response to any potential threat by being activated to eliminate diverse pathogens ranging from bacteria to cancer. The activated microglia cells are commonly used as a diagnostic biomarker of diverse brain conditions, however detection and classification of microglia activated phenotypes is a cumbersome and imprecise procedure. Here, we report on development of optical assay for detection and quantitative analysis of activated microglia. In this study, we investigated overall changes in the metabolism of microglia cells during their activation by monitoring the signal from cellular proteins and lipids using label‐free coherent anti‐Stokes Raman scattering imaging. Our data demonstrate that the activation of microglia in the presence of bacterial liposaccharide is accompanied by intense upregulation of synthesis of proteins and lipids. We further propose that elevated intracellular content of these types of macromolecules can serve as early supplementary marker for identification of active microglia cells in the brain samples by Raman imaging techniques.      

Heat stress and mortality in Lisbon part I. model construction and validation

Global climate change will have direct impacts on human health, including increased mortality due to heat stress and heat waves. An empirical-statistical model for heat stress is constructed for the city of Lisbon using the June-August months of the observational period 1980-1998. The model uses the regression of an aggregate dose-response relationship between maximum temperature and excess heat-related deaths, based on the difference between observed and expected deaths. The model is validated by correlation and residual analysis. The mean annual heat-related mortality for the period 1980-1998 was between 5.4 and 6 deaths per 100,000 depending on the method used to calculate expected deaths. Both validation methods show that the model has a moderate to high accuracy in modelling heat-related deaths compared to the observed record.     

Thidiazuron promotes high frequency regeneration of peanut (Arachis hypogaea) plants in vitro

Multiple shoots were induced on Valenciatype peanut (Arachis hypogaea L.) explants cultured in vitro on a nutrient medium supplemented with thidiazuron. Zygotic embryos excised from mature seeds were germinated on Murashige-Skoog nutrient medium, and the resulting plantlets (8 days-old) were used as a source of explants. When cultured on a nutrient medium with increasing levels of thidiazuron (0.5 to 30 mg/l), expiants from various parts of the peanut plant (except the root) produced multiple shoot primordia which subsequently developed into individual shoots. Hypocotyl and cotyledon explants produced shoots in higher numbers than other explants (20 shoots per hypocotyl explant at all thidiazuron concentrations and 15 shoots per cotyledon explant at 30 mg/l). Shoots rooted normally on a basal Murashige-Skoog medium containing charcoal and developed into healthy and fertile plants when planted in soil.Abbreviations TDZ thidiazuron - MSO Murashige and Skoog (1962) basal medium - BA 6-benzylaminopurine     

Rapid and repetitive plant regeneration in sweetpotato via somatic embryogenesis

An efficient in vitro plant regeneration system characterized by rapid and continuous production of somatic embryos using leaf and petiole expiants has been developed in sweetpotato [Ipomoea batatas L. (Lam.)]. The optimal somatic embryogenic response was obtained in the genotype PI 318846-3 with a two-step protocol: (1) stage I-incubation of expiants in the dark for 2 weeks on Murashige Skoog (MS) medium containing 2,4-dichlorophenoxyacetic acid (2,4-D) (2.5 mg/l) and 6-benzylaminopurine (0.25 mg/l) and, (2) stage II-culture in the light on MS medium with abscisic acid (ABA) (2.5 mg/l). The addition of ABA was critical for enhanced production of somatic embryos. Secondary somatic embryos were produced from the primary embryos cultured on MS medium with 2,4-D at 0.2 mg/l. The somatic embryos were converted into normal plantlets when cultured on basal MS medium. Upon transfer to soil, plants grew well and appeared normal with no mortality. The system of somatic embryogenesis described here will facilitate tissue culture, germplasm conservation and gene transfer research of sweetpotato due to its rapidity (6 to 10 weeks), prolific plant production by direct embryogenesis, ease of secondary somatic embryo production and reproducibility.Abbreviations ABA abscisic acid - BAP 6-benzylaminopurine, 2,4-D-2,4-dichlorophenoxyacetic acid - GA₃ gibberellic acid - KIN kinetin - MS medium of Murashige and Skoog (1962) - NAA 1-naph-thaleneacetic acid - PIC picolinic acid - TDZ thidiazuron