How well can post-traumatic stress disorder be predicted from pre-trauma risk factors? An exploratory study in the WHO World Mental Health Surveys

Post‐traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) should be one of the most preventable mental disorders, since many people exposed to traumatic experiences (TEs) could be targeted in first response settings in the immediate aftermath of exposure for preventive intervention. However, these interventions are costly and the proportion of TE‐exposed people who develop PTSD is small. To be cost‐effective, risk prediction rules are needed to target high‐risk people in the immediate aftermath of a TE. Although a number of studies have been carried out to examine prospective predictors of PTSD among people recently exposed to TEs, most were either small or focused on a narrow sample, making it unclear how well PTSD can be predicted in the total population of people exposed to TEs. The current report investigates this issue in a large sample based on the World Health Organization (WHO)'s World Mental Health Surveys. Retrospective reports were obtained on the predictors of PTSD associated with 47,466 TE exposures in representative community surveys carried out in 24 countries. Machine learning methods (random forests, penalized regression, super learner) were used to develop a model predicting PTSD from information about TE type, socio‐demographics, and prior histories of cumulative TE exposure and DSM‐IV disorders. DSM‐IV PTSD prevalence was 4.0% across the 47,466 TE exposures. 95.6% of these PTSD cases were associated with the 10.0% of exposures (i.e., 4,747) classified by machine learning algorithm as having highest predicted PTSD risk. The 47,466 exposures were divided into 20 ventiles (20 groups of equal size) ranked by predicted PTSD risk. PTSD occurred after 56.3% of the TEs in the highest‐risk ventile, 20.0% of the TEs in the second highest ventile, and 0.0‐1.3% of the TEs in the 18 remaining ventiles. These patterns of differential risk were quite stable across demographic‐geographic sub‐samples. These results demonstrate that a sensitive risk algorithm can be created using data collected in the immediate aftermath of TE exposure to target people at highest risk of PTSD. However, validation of the algorithm is needed in prospective samples, and additional work is warranted to refine the algorithm both in terms of determining a minimum required predictor set and developing a practical administration and scoring protocol that can be used in routine clinical practice.     

Evidence of Functional Protein Dynamics from X-Ray Crystallographic Ensembles

It is widely recognized that representing a protein as a single static conformation is inadequate to describe the dynamics essential to the performance of its biological function. We contrast the amino acid displacements below and above the protein dynamical transition temperature, T_D∼215K, of hen egg white lysozyme using X-ray crystallography ensembles that are analyzed by molecular dynamics simulations as a function of temperature. We show that measuring structural variations across an ensemble of X-ray derived models captures the activation of conformational states that are of functional importance just above T_D, and they remain virtually identical to structural motions measured at 300K. Our results highlight the ability to observe functional structural variations across an ensemble of X-ray crystallographic data, and that residue fluctuations measured in MD simulations at room temperature are in quantitative agreement with the experimental observable.     

Immediate early gene expression associated with induction of brooding behavior in Japanese quail

Certain species can be induced to foster infant or neonatal animals through the process of sensitization. We induced brooding behavior in adult Japanese quail through repeated exposure to foster chicks across five 20-min trials. Brooding behavior was characterized by a bird allowing chicks to approach and remain underneath its wings while assuming a distinctive stationary crouching posture, preening, and feather fluffing. Birds who did not show brooding behavior actively avoided chicks. Among the birds that brooded chicks, females brooded chicks for longer durations compared to males. Brooding females continued a regular daily egg laying pattern; males showed no significant changes in testosterone levels after exposure to chicks. In a second experiment, we measured expression of two immediate early gene (IEG) protein products, ZENK and Fos, to identify the brain regions activated or inhibited by brooding behavior in females. ZENK and Fos expression in brooding or sensitized females (SF) were compared with expression in nonmaternal females with chicks (NMF) and with females without chicks and with blocks as control objects (BL). There was a reduced density of ZENK-like immunoreactive (ZENK-lir) cells in the medial preoptic nucleus (POM) in NMF birds. In SF birds, the density of Fos-like immunoreactive (Fos-lir) cells was elevated in the bed nucleus stria terminalis, medial portion (BSTm), and ectostriatum (E). These experiments begin to define the neural circuitry underlying brooding behavior in Japanese quail, and establish a model for future studies of the neural mechanisms of avian parental behavior.     

Effect of female brooding behaviour on male mate choice in Japanese quail, Coturnix japonica

Brooding behaviour is a likely cue to a female's reproductive status and therefore a potentially important factor in male mate assessment. We induced brooding behaviour in adult female Japanese quail by exposure to foster chicks for five 20-min trials over 3 days. In two experiments, we assessed the influence of this brooding behaviour on male mate choice in Japanese quail using an established mate choice paradigm. In each experiment we gave males a choice between two females presented simultaneously and measured preference by the time spent in proximity to each. In the first experiment, a male's preference for the initially preferred female significantly decreased after he had seen her brooding three chicks. In the control condition, male preference for an initially preferred female remained relatively consistent over consecutive trials if he did not see her brood chicks. These results suggest that females who are brooding chicks are less attractive to male Japanese quail. Further evidence from the second experiment substantiates this finding, and strongly suggests that males are averse to behavioural cues from maternal females, rather than the mere presence of chicks. Copyright 2003 The Association for the Study of Animal Behaviour. Published by Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.      

云南含笑天然居群的表型多样性分析

为揭示云南含笑天然居群表型变异程度和变异规律,以云南昆明地区天然分布的云南含笑为研究对象,调查了6个居群180个单株的14个表型性状,采用巢式方差分析、变异系数、相关分析、Shannon-Weaver多样性指数分析和聚类分析等方法,分析了居群间和居群内表型多样性.结果表明:(1)云南含笑表型性状在居群间和居群内存在极其丰富的多样性,14个表型性状平均表型分化系数(24.38％)小于居群内变异(75.62％),居群内变异是表型变异的主要来源;14个表型性状的变异系数(CV)在16.20％～60.11％之间,表明云南含笑居群内表型性状离散程度较高.(2)对云南含笑各居群的Shannon-Weaver指数分析表明,云南含笑各居群具有丰富的多样性,总体表型多样性指数为1.772.(3)利用居群间欧氏距离进行的UPGMA聚类分析结果表明,云南含笑6个天然居群可以聚为3类,而且表型性状并没有严格依地理距离而聚类.     

Operation Everest II: comparison of four instruments for measuring blood O2 saturation

The bias and precision of four different methods for determining O2 saturation (SO2) were evaluated during a study of hypobaric hypoxia conducted with seven male subjects exposed progressively over a 40-day period to simulated altitudes from sea level (760 Torr) to 8,840 m (240 Torr). SO2 of arterial and mixed venous blood samples were measured with the Instrumentation Laboratory 282 CO-oximeter (CO-OX), the Radiometer ABL-300 (ABL), and the Lex-O2-Con-K (LEX). Noninvasive measurements of arterial SO2 were made with a Hewlett-Packard 47201A ear oximeter (EAR-OX). The CO-OX method was used as a secondary standard for comparison with the other methods because it has been validated against the classical Van Slyke method over a wide physiological range (Maas et al., Clin. Chim. Acta 29: 303-309, 1970). The LEX results most closely approximated but consistently underestimated those of the CO-OX: LEX = 0.93 CO-OX -0.86, standard error of the estimate (SEE) = 5.17, r = 0.98, n = 670. The ABL method appeared to combine two linear trends: for SO2 greater than 75%, ABL = 0.84 CO-OX +14.4, SEE = 1.77, r = 0.97, n = 369; less than 75%, ABL = 0.98 CO-OX +5.9, SEE = 4.44, r = 0.97, n = 486. The EAR-OX results were found to approximate those of the CO-OX at SO2 values only greater than 65%: EAR-OX = 1.07 CO-OX -6.12, SEE = 7.71, r = 0.98, n = 326.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

Statistics and Physical Origins of pK and Ionization State Changes upon Protein-Ligand Binding

This work investigates statistical prevalence and overall physical origins of changes in charge states of receptor proteins upon ligand binding. These changes are explored as a function of the ligand type (small molecule, protein, and nucleic acid), and distance from the binding region. Standard continuum solvent methodology is used to compute, on an equal footing, pK changes upon ligand binding for a total of 5899 ionizable residues in 20 protein-protein, 20 protein-small molecule, and 20 protein-nucleic acid high-resolution complexes. The size of the data set combined with an extensive error and sensitivity analysis allows us to make statistically justified and conservative conclusions: in 60% of all protein-small molecule, 90% of all protein-protein, and 85% of all protein-nucleic acid complexes there exists at least one ionizable residue that changes its charge state upon ligand binding at physiological conditions (pH = 6.5). Considering the most biologically relevant pH range of 4-8, the number of ionizable residues that experience substantial pK changes (ΔpK > 1.0) due to ligand binding is appreciable: on average, 6% of all ionizable residues in protein-small molecule complexes, 9% in protein-protein, and 12% in protein-nucleic acid complexes experience a substantial pK change upon ligand binding. These changes are safely above the statistical false-positive noise level. Most of the changes occur in the immediate binding interface region, where approximately one out of five ionizable residues experiences substantial pK change regardless of the ligand type. However, the physical origins of the change differ between the types: in protein-nucleic acid complexes, the pK values of interface residues are predominantly affected by electrostatic effects, whereas in protein-protein and protein-small molecule complexes, structural changes due to the induced-fit effect play an equally important role. In protein-protein and protein-nucleic acid complexes, there is a statistically significant number of substantial pK perturbations, mostly due to the induced-fit structural changes, in regions far from the binding interface.     

桂东不同林龄马尾松人工林的生物量及其分配特征

根据5a、15a、21a、32a、60a生的5个不同林龄的15块1 000m2样地(3次重复)调查资料,利用21株不同年龄和径阶的马尾松样木数据,建立以胸径(D)为单变量的生物量回归方程.采用样木回归分析法(乔木层)和样方收获法(灌木层、草本层、地上凋落物)获取不同林龄马尾松人工林的生物量,并分析了其组成、分配特征及不同林龄生物量的变化趋势.结果表明:(1)林分的总生物量随林龄而增加,5a、15a、21a、32a和60a生马尾松人工林生物量分别为15.03、125.93、183.51、191.53、405.31 Mg/hm2,其中活体植物占75.01％～94.19％,地上凋落物占0.86％～24.99％.(2)层次分配方面乔木层占绝对优势,占90.20％～98.35％,且随林龄的增加而增大,其次为地上凋落物,占0.86％～24.99％;草本层和灌木层生物量较小,分别占0.47％～34.85％和0.32％～27.00％,均随林龄的增加呈递减趋势.(3)乔木层器官分配以干所占比例最高,占49.93％～83.10％,且随林龄而增加;根相对比较稳定,占6.97％～12.82％;枝、叶分别占11.75％～14.83％、1.33％～23.65％,均随林龄增大而下降.灌木层器官分配除幼龄林为根＞枝＞叶,其余的均呈枝＞根＞叶的趋势.草本层中龄林和近熟林生物量地下＞地上,其他林龄生物量地上＞地下.(4)各林龄凋落物生物量在3.48～6.68Mg/hm2,规律性不强.(5)马尾松人工林乔木层各器官及林分生物量具有良好的优化增长模型,其32a生林分生物量高于同林龄的楠木人工林,低于热带雨林,是一种速生丰产、固碳潜力大的优良造林树种.     

The Wavelet-Based Cluster Analysis for Temporal Gene Expression Data

A variety of high-throughput methods have made it possible to generate detailed temporal expression data for a single gene or large numbers of genes. Common methods for analysis of these large data sets can be problematic. One challenge is the comparison of temporal expression data obtained from different growth conditions where the patterns of expression may be shifted in time. We propose the use of wavelet analysis to transform the data obtained under different growth conditions to permit comparison of expression patterns from experiments that have time shifts or delays. We demonstrate this approach using detailed temporal data for a single bacterial gene obtained under 72 different growth conditions. This general strategy can be applied in the analysis of data sets of thousands of genes under different conditions.[1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29]