Bayesian Geostatistical Model-Based Estimates of Soil-Transmitted Helminth Infection in Nigeria,Including Annual Deworming Requirements

Background

The acceleration of the control of soil-transmitted helminth (STH) infections in Nigeria, emphasizing preventive chemotherapy, has become imperative in light of the global fight against neglected tropical diseases. Predictive risk maps are an important tool to guide and support control activities.

Methodology

STH infection prevalence data were obtained from surveys carried out in 2011 using standard protocols. Data were geo-referenced and collated in a nationwide, geographic information system database. Bayesian geostatistical models with remotely sensed environmental covariates and variable selection procedures were utilized to predict the spatial distribution of STH infections in Nigeria.

Principal Findings

We found that hookworm, Ascaris lumbricoides, and Trichuris trichiura infections are endemic in 482 (86.8%), 305 (55.0%), and 55 (9.9%) locations, respectively. Hookworm and A. lumbricoides infection co-exist in 16 states, while the three species are co-endemic in 12 states. Overall, STHs are endemic in 20 of the 36 states of Nigeria, including the Federal Capital Territory of Abuja. The observed prevalence at endemic locations ranged from 1.7% to 51.7% for hookworm, from 1.6% to 77.8% for A. lumbricoides, and from 1.0% to 25.5% for T. trichiura. Model-based predictions ranged from 0.7% to 51.0% for hookworm, from 0.1% to 82.6% for A. lumbricoides, and from 0.0% to 18.5% for T. trichiura. Our models suggest that day land surface temperature and dense vegetation are important predictors of the spatial distribution of STH infection in Nigeria. In 2011, a total of 5.7 million (13.8%) school-aged children were predicted to be infected with STHs in Nigeria. Mass treatment at the local government area level for annual or bi-annual treatment of the school-aged population in Nigeria in 2011, based on World Health Organization prevalence thresholds, were estimated at 10.2 million tablets.

Conclusions/Significance

The predictive risk maps and estimated deworming needs presented here will be helpful for escalating the control and spatial targeting of interventions against STH infections in Nigeria.     

Rhizotron studies on Zea mays L. to evaluate biocontrol activity of Bacillus subtilis

The effect of Bacillus as a biocontrol agent against some root-rot fungi was tested using maize (Zea mays L.) in rhizotrons placed in a growth chamber with relative humidity 60% with a 12 h photoperiod and day and night temperatures of 24 and 18°C respectively. Rhizoctonia solani Kühn caused pre-emergence damping-off in the untreated maize seeds showing weak and soft roots as observed through the perspex rhizotrons. Image analysis was used to quantify the effects of Bacillus treatment on seedlings infected with Pythium sp. Bacillus B77 and B81 were most effective in the control of the pathogen, R. solani which achieved a biocontrol activity of 24 and 35% respectively with regard to shoot dry biomass while B81 achieved 48% biocontrol with reference to root dry biomass. There was no effect on the root area. For root dry biomass, B81, B69, B11 and B77 showed higher biocontrol activity in comparison to the control. Pythium sp. caused pre- and post emergence damping- off in the untreated seeds. Root rot of the maize seedlings caused by Pythium sp. was slightly controlled by Bacillus B69 and B81 which achieved biocontrol activity of 18 and 11% respectively. For the biocontrol of Fusarium solani, Bacillus B77, B69, B81 achieved biocontrol activity of 50, 48 and 33% respectively with reference to root dry biomass.     

Association of Metformin Use with Outcomes in Advanced Endometrial Cancer Treated with Chemotherapy

There is increasing evidence that metformin, a commonly used treatment for diabetes, might have the potential to be repurposed as an economical and safe cancer therapeutic. The aim of this study was to determine whether stage III-IV or recurrent endometrial cancer patients who are using metformin during treatment with chemotherapy have improved survival. To test this we analyzed a retrospective cohort of subjects at two independent institutions who received chemotherapy for stage III-IV or recurrent endometrial cancer from 1992 to 2011. Diagnosis of diabetes, metformin use, demographics, endometrial cancer clinico-pathologic parameters, and survival duration were abstracted. The primary outcome was overall survival. The final cohort included 349 patients, 31 (8.9%) had diabetes and used metformin, 28 (8.0%) had diabetes but did not use metformin, and 291 (83.4%) did not have diabetes. The results demonstrate that the median overall survival was 45.6 months for patients with diabetes who used metformin compared to 12.5 months for patients with diabetes who did not use metformin and 28.5 months for patients without diabetes (log-rank test comparing the three groups P = 0.006). In a model adjusted for confounders, the difference in survival between the three groups remained statistically significant (P = 0.023). The improvement in survival among metformin users was not explained by better baseline health status or more aggressive use of chemotherapy. Overall, the findings in this retrospective cohort of endometrial cancer patients with stage III-IV or recurrent disease treated with chemotherapy indicate that patients with diabetes who were concurrently treated with metformin survived longer than patients with diabetes who did not use metformin.     

Quality Assessment of TPB-Based Questionnaires: A Systematic Review

Objective

This review is aimed at assessing the quality of questionnaires and their development process based on the theory of planned behavior (TPB) change model.

Methods

A systematic literature search for studies with the primary aim of TPB-based questionnaire development was conducted in relevant databases between 2002 and 2012 using selected search terms. Ten of 1,034 screened abstracts met the inclusion criteria and were assessed for methodological quality using two different appraisal tools: one for the overall methodological quality of each study and the other developed for the appraisal of the questionnaire content and development process. Both appraisal tools consisted of items regarding the likelihood of bias in each study and were eventually combined to give the overall quality score for each included study.

Results

8 of the 10 included studies showed low risk of bias in the overall quality assessment of each study, while 9 of the studies were of high quality based on the quality appraisal of questionnaire content and development process.

Conclusion

Quality appraisal of the questionnaires in the 10 reviewed studies was successfully conducted, highlighting the top problem areas (including: sample size estimation; inclusion of direct and indirect measures; and inclusion of questions on demographics) in the development of TPB-based questionnaires and the need for researchers to provide a more detailed account of their development process.