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Background

Japanese encephalitis (JE) is the leading cause of viral encephalitis across Asia with approximately 70,000 cases a year and 10,000 to 15,000 deaths. Because JE incidence varies widely over time, partly due to inter-annual climate variability effects on mosquito vector abundance, it becomes more complex to assess the effects of a vaccination programme since more or less climatically favourable years could also contribute to a change in incidence post-vaccination. Therefore, the objective of this study was to quantify vaccination effect on confirmed Japanese encephalitis (JE) cases in Sarawak, Malaysia after controlling for climate variability to better understand temporal dynamics of JE virus transmission and control.

Methodology/principal findings

Monthly data on serologically confirmed JE cases were acquired from Sibu Hospital in Sarawak from 1997 to 2006. JE vaccine coverage (non-vaccine years vs. vaccine years) and meteorological predictor variables, including temperature, rainfall and the Southern Oscillation index (SOI) were tested for their association with JE cases using Poisson time series analysis and controlling for seasonality and long-term trend. Over the 10-years surveillance period, 133 confirmed JE cases were identified. There was an estimated 61% reduction in JE risk after the introduction of vaccination, when no account is taken of the effects of climate. This reduction is only approximately 45% when the effects of inter-annual variability in climate are controlled for in the model. The Poisson model indicated that rainfall (lag 1-month), minimum temperature (lag 6-months) and SOI (lag 6-months) were positively associated with JE cases.

Conclusions/significance

This study provides the first improved estimate of JE reduction through vaccination by taking account of climate inter-annual variability. Our analysis confirms that vaccination has substantially reduced JE risk in Sarawak but this benefit may be overestimated if climate effects are ignored.  相似文献   
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AlateratioofMyzuspersicaeSulzerwasgreatlycloserinrelationshiptocertaininclusionintherapecrop-QingyouⅡ,suchastryptophan,ratioofcontentsofsolublesugartoproteinandmeancrowdingnessunderconditionsofvariedmateproportionoffertilizers-N,P,K.Thefollowinginclusionintherapecropwerealsorelatedtotheratioofalatate:asperticacid,troeoninie,serine,glutancicacid,phenylalanine,lysine,histidine,valine,methionine,isoleucine,leucine,solublesugarandwater-solubleprotein.  相似文献   
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Background  

Alu elements are a family of SINE retrotransposons in primates. They are classified into subfamilies according to specific diagnostic mutations from the general Alu consensus. It is now believed that there may be several retrotranspositionally-competent source genes within an Alu subfamily. In this study, subfamilies falling on the AluYi and AluYh lineages, and the AluYg6 subfamily, are assessed for the presence of secondary source genes, and the influence of gene conversion on the AluYh and AluYi lineages is also described.  相似文献   
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Hou Y  Hsu W  Lee ML  Bystroff C 《Proteins》2004,57(3):518-530
Remote homology detection refers to the detection of structural homology in proteins when there is little or no sequence similarity. In this article, we present a remote homolog detection method called SVM-HMMSTR that overcomes the reliance on detectable sequence similarity by transforming the sequences into strings of hidden Markov states that represent local folding motif patterns. These state strings are transformed into fixed-dimension feature vectors for input to a support vector machine. Two sets of features are defined: an order-independent feature set that captures the amino acid and local structure composition; and an order-dependent feature set that captures the sequential ordering of the local structures. Tests using the Structural Classification of Proteins (SCOP) 1.53 data set show that the SVM-HMMSTR gives a significant improvement over several current methods.  相似文献   
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Effects of 20-hydroxyecdysone and serotonin on the morphological development and the survival of antennal lobe neurons from day-2 pupal brains of the silk moth Bombyx mori were investigated in vitro. Four morphologically distinct neuronal types could be identified in the cultured antennal lobe neurons: unipolar, bipolar, multi-polar and projection neurons. Antennal lobe neurons in culture with 20-hydroxyecdysone and serotonin showed different patterns of the morphological development from those described in Manduca sexta. Projection neurons extend their neurites remarkably by 20-hydroxyecdysone in B. mori, but there is no extension from antennal lobe neurons in M. sexta. Multi-polar neurons conspicuously increase only formation of new branches from their primary neurites by serotonin in B. mori, but there are both extension and branching of the neurites in M. sexta. On day-5, antennal lobe neurons in lower titers of 20-hydroxyecdysone had significantly higher survival rates than those in higher titers. Neurons cultured for 7 days at different levels of 20-hydroxyecdysone generally showed significantly lower survival rates than neurons cultured for 5 days under the same conditions.  相似文献   
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Human activity and associated landscape modifications alter the movements of animals with consequences for populations and ecosystems worldwide. Species performing long-distance movements are thought to be particularly sensitive to human impact. Despite the increasing anthropogenic pressure, it remains challenging to understand and predict animals' responses to human activity. Here we address this knowledge gap using 1206 Global Positioning System movement trajectories of 815 individuals from 14 red deer (Cervus elaphus) and 14 elk (Cervus canadensis) populations spanning wide environmental gradients, namely the latitudinal range from the Alps to Scandinavia in Europe, and the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem in North America. We measured individual-level movements relative to the environmental context, or movement expression, using the standardized metric Intensity of Use, reflecting both the directionality and extent of movements. We expected movement expression to be affected by resource (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI) predictability and topography, but those factors to be superseded by human impact. Red deer and elk movement expression varied along a continuum, from highly segmented trajectories over relatively small areas (high intensity of use), to directed transitions through restricted corridors (low intensity of use). Human activity (Human Footprint Index, HFI) was the strongest driver of movement expression, with a steep increase in Intensity of Use as HFI increased, but only until a threshold was reached. After exceeding this level of impact, the Intensity of Use remained unchanged. These results indicate the overall sensitivity of Cervus movement expression to human activity and suggest a limitation of plastic responses under high human pressure, despite the species also occurring in human-dominated landscapes. Our work represents the first comparison of metric-based movement expression across widely distributed populations of a deer genus, contributing to the understanding and prediction of animals' responses to human activity.  相似文献   
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